The Worksheet, a fantasy football overview by Rich Hribar, breaking down everything you need to know for the Week 7 Kansas City Chiefs at Tennessee Titans Sunday afternoon game.

Kansas CityRank@TennesseeRank
-4.5Spread4.5
30.3Implied Total25.8
30.85Points/Gm27.78
29.328Points All./Gm26.824
67.77Plays/Gm69.54
61.211Opp. Plays/Gm62.516
6.43Off. Yards/Play5.522
6.732Def. Yards/Play6.127
37.93%21Rush%46.52%6
62.07%12Pass%53.48%27
42.23%20Opp. Rush %39.47%8
57.77%13Opp. Pass %60.53%25
  • Under Mike Vrabel, the Titans are 7-3 against the spread with a rest disadvantage, second in the league over that span.
  • Kansas City has scored on 50.9% of their possessions, third in the league.
  • The Chiefs have turned the ball over on 22.8% of their drives, 32nd in the league.
  • The Chiefs are averaging 7.2 plays per drive, the most in the league.
  • The Titans are averaging 6.4 plays per drive, fifth in the league.
  • Patrick Mahomes is the least blitzed quarterback in the league, blitzed on 13.5% of his dropbacks.
  • The Chiefs are last in the league in expected points added via their run defense (-26.3).
  • The Titans are first in the league in expected points added via their rushing offense (28.9).
  • The Chiefs have converted 60.3% of their third downs, the highest rate in the league. The next highest team (Tampa Bay) is at 49.4%.

Trust = spike production for that player
Bust = down-week production for that player’s standards

Quarterback

Patrick Mahomes (TRUST): Mahomes has taken some shade for his eight interceptions over the past five weeks and his unwillingness to concede a down, but he has steadily stayed a top fantasy quarterback, producing five top-eight scoring weeks over the opening six weeks of the season. 

Mahomes is coming off a season-high 397 yards passing and has thrown multiple touchdowns in every game this year. This week, Mahomes draws a Tennessee pass defense that has already surrendered four top-10 scoring weeks and over 17.0 fantasy points to all but one quarterback they have faced. The Titans are 26th in yards allowed per completion (12.4 yards) while allowing a 5.6% touchdown rate (23rd) to opposing passers.

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