The Worksheet, a fantasy football overview by Rich Hribar, breaking down everything you need to know for the Week 12 Los Angeles Chargers at Denver Broncos Sunday afternoon game.
| LA Chargers | Rank | @ | Denver | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | Spread | 2.5 | ||
| 24.8 | Implied Total | 22.3 | ||
| 26 | 11 | Points/Gm | 20 | 23 |
| 26.5 | 27 | Points All./Gm | 18.3 | 3 |
| 64.4 | 11 | Plays/Gm | 61.9 | 22 |
| 64.6 | 21 | Opp. Plays/Gm | 60.1 | 4 |
| 5.8 | 14 | Off. Yards/Play | 5.5 | 17 |
| 5.6 | 19 | Def. Yards/Play | 5.5 | 13 |
| 35.87% | 28 | Rush% | 39.90% | 19 |
| 64.13% | 5 | Pass% | 60.10% | 14 |
| 47.68% | 31 | Opp. Rush % | 41.43% | 17 |
| 52.32% | 2 | Opp. Pass % | 58.57% | 16 |
- Games involving the Chargers are averaging a combined 52.5 points per game, second in the league.
- Games involving the Broncos are averaging 38.3 combined points per game, the fewest in the league.
- The Chargers are fourth in the NFL in points per possession (2.58).
- The Chargers are 30th in the league in points allowed per drive (2.53).
- Denver is fifth in points allowed per drive (1.67).
- Austin Ekeler leads the league in fantasy points scored in the red zone this season with 106.2. His previous career-high came in 2019 with 60.8 points in the red zone.
- Just 10.8% of the plays against Denver have come from inside of the red zone, the lowest rate in the league.
Trust = spike production for that player
Quarterback
Justin Herbert: When Herbert hits, he hits big. We have mentioned it a few times, but Herbert now has been the QB1 or QB2 in scoring in four weeks this season and the QB16 or lower in five weeks with a QB12 scoring week in between. You don’t always get there, but when you do he is winning weeks.
Denver has swerved into an aggressive approach, blitzing on 33.0% of dropbacks, which is fourth in the league. Against the blitz, Herbert is completing 60.2% of his passes for 7.3 Y/A with five touchdowns and zero interceptions. If you can pressure Herbert, that is when he is impacted, completing just 49.4% of his passes for 5.0 Y/A. If Denver is going to blitz, they better make sure they can get home, or it could be a long afternoon.
Denver is fifth in passing points allowed per game (12.9 points) and they have not yet allowed any quarterback to throw more than two touchdowns in a game this season against them. Herbert is a boom-or-bust QB1.
