The Worksheet, a fantasy football overview by Rich Hribar, breaking down everything you need to know for the Week 15 New England Patriots at Indianapolis Colts Saturday night game.

New EnglandRank@IndianapolisRank
2Spread-2
21.8Implied Total23.8
26.910Points/Gm28.53
15.41Points All./Gm21.89
61.428Plays/Gm63.814
61.511Opp. Plays/Gm61.210
5.616Off. Yards/Play5.812
53Def. Yards/Play5.621
47.62%2Rush%46.14%8
52.38%31Pass%53.86%25
42.18%17Opp. Rush %40.45%13
57.82%16Opp. Pass %59.55%20
  • The Colts (18.9%) and Patriots (18.7%) are first and second in the league in percentage of drives with a forced turnover.
  • The Colts have run a play with a double-digit lead in 10 games this season, the most in the league.
  • The Patriots have trailed by double-digits for just 7.4% of their offensive snaps, second in the league.
  • The Patriots are averaging 4.7 more yards per pass attempt than their opponent since Week 10, the largest gap in the league. The next closest team (Kansas City) is at 1.9 more yards per attempt than their opponent.
  • The Patriots are tied for second in the league in scoring plays per game (5.1), but 50% of their scoring plays are touchdowns (31st). 
  • New England is allowing a league-low 2.8 scoring plays per game. 
  • The Patriots are second in the league in red zone conversion rate allowed (45.7%) while the Colts are 30th (71.1%).

Trust = spike production for that player

Quarterback

Carson Wentz: Wentz comes out of the bye with one QB1 scoring week over his past four games played while throwing for 6.2 yards per pass attempt over his past seven games. 

Wentz runs into a tough draw out of the bye against a New England defense that is second in the league in yards allowed per pass attempt (6.4 Y/A), second in completion rate (58.6%), and fourth in touchdown rate (3.5%) allowed. Their schedule has been light in facing just four passers in the top-12 in points scored per game, but they have also only allowed one of those four to register a QB1 scoring week, leaving Wentz as a 2QB option in Week 15.

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