Sharp Football's Rich Hribrar breaks down this Giants vs Vikings NFC Wild Card Playoff matchup:
The Giants and Vikings are running back a fun Week 16 matchup that seen the Vikings pull out a 27-24 win on the strength of a 61-yard Greg Joseph field goal as time expired.
That game featured 28 combined points in the fourth quarter after things entered the final frame with the Giants having a 13-10 lead.
This game features two of the three playoff teams with negative point differentials on the season.
The Vikings have been one of the most intriguing ongoing stories this season as they won a league-high 10 games in which they trailed, including eight games they pulled out ahead after trailing in the fourth quarter.
No other team had more than five wins trailing in the final quarter. Minnesota posted a league-high +78 point differential in the fourth quarter this season while ranking 30th in point differential quarters 1-3 (-87 points).
The Giants are also used to being behind, trailing in 16 games this season, the most of any playoff team.
They won eight games trailing in the second half this season, tied for the most in the league.
They did not have as many fourth quarter comebacks as Minnesota, but the Giants were also a slow starting team, ranking 29th in scoring rate per drive in the first half (29.9%) and then leading the league with a 46.1% scoring rate per drive in the second half of games.
Minnesota is entering the postseason with the worst defense among any playoff team.
This season, the Vikings defense ranked:
- 30th in yards allowed per play (5.9)
- 28th in allowing opponents to score on 41.1% of their drives.
- More so, the Vikings allowed 73 plays of 20 or more yards (ahead of only the Lions).
The Giants were ranked dead last in the NFL in plays of 20 or more yards on offense this season (43) but had a season-high five of them in the Week 16 matchup between these teams, which was fourth in the league that week. The Giants had a season-high 445 yards in that game.
New York got to the playoffs on their strength of protecting the football: turning the ball over on a league-low 7.3% of their possessions (but they did have a pair of turnovers in that Week 16 game).
On the flip side, the Giants are also the worst team in the NFC postseason at creating turnovers, getting a takeaway on 8.7% of opponent possessions. Only the Dolphins were worse (7.6%) among playoff teams.
» Read the full Giants vs Vikings Worksheet breakdown
Giants vs Vikings Prediction
The Vikings are predicted to win this NFC Wild Card game with a 62.3% implied probability based on current betting lines. The moneyline model also predicts the Vikings will win with 62.3% confidence.
» Bet it Now: Giants vs Vikings
Giants vs. Vikings Odds, Spread, Totals & Moneyline:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Giants | +3 -110 | 48 -110 | +140 |
| Vikings | -3 -110 | 48 -110 | -165 |
Giants vs Vikings Team Comparison:
| NY Giants | Rank | @ | Minnesota | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Spread | -3 | ||
| 22.25 | Implied Total | 25.25 | ||
| 21.5 | 15 | Points/Gm | 24.9 | 8 |
| 21.8 | 17 | Points All./Gm | 25.1 | 28 |
| 64.1 | 15 | Plays/Gm | 66.1 | 6 |
| 63.4 | 18 | Opp. Plays/Gm | 65.8 | 31 |
| 5.2 | 22 | Off. Yards/Play | 5.5 | 13 |
| 5.6 | 24 | Def. Yards/Play | 5.9 | 30 |
| 47.75% | 8 | Rush% | 35.98% | 30 |
| 52.25% | 25 | Pass% | 64.02% | 3 |
| 43.51% | 18 | Opp. Rush % | 41.41% | 10 |
| 56.49% | 15 | Opp. Pass % | 58.59% | 23 |
Giants Best Bets Against the Spread
- The Giants have hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 13 games (+8.75 Units / 60% ROI)
- The Giants have covered the Spread in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.65 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Giants have scored last in 12 of their last 17 games (+7.85 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Giants have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 17 games (+6.65 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Giants have covered the 2H Spread in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.50 Units / 35% ROI)
Vikings Best Bets Against the Spread:
- The Vikings have covered the 4Q Spread in 14 of their last 17 games (+10.70 Units / 56% ROI)
- The Vikings have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 15 games (+10.30 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Vikings have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 17 games (+8.70 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Vikings have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.90 Units / 60% ROI)
- The Vikings have hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.60 Units / 40% ROI)
First & Anytime Touchdown Scorer Prediction & Bet:
Justin Jefferson (WR, Vikings) is our pick for the 1st TD Scorer bet in this NFC Wild Card Weekend matchup.
Isiah Hodgins (WR, Giants) is our pick for an anytime TD Scorer bet in this NFC Wild Card Weekend matchup.
» Get Anytime & 1st TD Scorer Bets for every Wild Card game
Giants Against the Spread Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Giants have gone 13-4 (+8.65 Units / 46.76% ROI).
- Giants are 9-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.65 Units / 31.37% ROI
- Giants are 7-9 when betting the Over for -2.95 Units / -15.73% ROI
- Giants are 9-7 when betting the Under for +1.3 Units / ROI
Vikings Against the Spread Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Vikings have gone 7-9 (-2.9 Units / -15.43% ROI).
- Vikings are 13-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.3 Units / 34.16% ROI
- Vikings are 11-6 when betting the Over for +4.4 Units / 23.53% ROI
- Vikings are 6-11 when betting the Under for -6.1 Units / -32.62% ROI
Continue reading from BetMGM's Giants vs Vikings game breakdown
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