Every NFL offseason, Warren Sharp releases his Football Preview Book, which uses expert analysis to break down all 32 teams through in-depth team chapters that are both data driven and actionable.
One of the most popular sections from each team chapter is the Sharp Football team's write-up on why to bet the Over or Under for a given team.
Eagles Over/Under Wins, 2023:
The Eagles are predicted to win 11.5 games in 2023, based on win totals from Vegas Odds.
Why You Should Bet the Over: Eagles Win Total in 2023
#1 Reason to Bet the Over:
Nick Sirianni provides the Eagles an improved chance of winning with his weekly gameplan adjustments and in-game decision making.
According to Sumer Sports, Sirianni finished first in win probability over expected.
The Eagles are an analytically-driven organization, and preparedness for every situation is an organizational strength that provides the third-year coach the ability to be among the top coaches in the game.
#2 Reason to Bet Over:
The Eagles finished with the top record against opponents that finished the season with a winning record. The lone loss came against the Cowboys in Week 16 without starting quarterback Jalen Hurts.
Their success was highlighted in the first half.
They led the league with a +121 first-half point margin. The Eagles only trailed at half-time in two of Hurts’ starts and both times trailed by a single score.
#3 Reason to Bet Over:
The Eagles have the most complete roster in the league, and it is highlighted by elite offensive and defensive lines.
The offensive line is arguably the top unit in the league.
The defense finished the season with 70 sacks, 15 more than any other team. They ranked first in ESPN’s pass rush win rate.
The Eagles should once again get strong play from the trenches in 2023.
» Bet the Eagles Win Total Over
Why You Should Bet the Under: Eagles Win Total in 2023
#1 Reason to Bet the Under:
The Eagles faced the easiest schedule of opponents in 2022, and it was equally as soft on both sides of the ball.
They faced the second-easiest opposing offenses and defenses in terms of efficiency.
The Eagles have the sixth-largest increase in schedule difficulty and are projected to face a top-10 schedule of defenses.
#2 Reason to Bet the Under:
The Eagles are tied for sixth-worst with a negative six-day net rest edge.
Eagles’ opponents have a rest advantage in five games compared to a single game in Week 3 in which the Eagles have an advantage.
In Weeks 12 through 14, the Eagles face the Bills, 49ers, and Cowboys, all with a rest disadvantage.
#3 Reason to Bet the Under:
Regression in injury luck and one-score games is likely.
The Eagles finished with a 7-1 record in one-score games in 2022, the second-highest winning percentage in the league, and were the league's second-highest overachievers in Pythagorean wins.
The Eagles finished the season with the third-lowest adjusted games lost to injury and the fourth-highest offensive line continuity, needing only six starters throughout the season.
» Bet the Eagles Win Total Under
Philadelphia Eagles Strength of Schedule:
The Eagles are ranked #13 out of all 32 teams for NFL Strength of Schedule, giving them the 13th-easiest schedule for the 2023 NFL season.
For full team chapters, including a dozen more visuals & info-graphics, defensive breakdown, and detailed Fantasy football implications pick up a copy of Warren Sharp’s new ‘2023 Football Preview’ book
All betting lines provided by BetMGM Sportsbook.
