The Worksheet, a comprehensive fantasy football preview by Rich Hribar, breaks down everything you need to know about the Week 7 matchup between the Broncos and Packers.
Find a breakdown of every Week 7 NFL game in our Worksheet Hub.
| Green Bay | Rank | @ | Denver | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | Spread | 1.5 | ||
| 23.0 | Implied Total | 21.5 | ||
| 22.6 | 13 | Points/Gm | 21.5 | 17 |
| 22.6 | 22 | Points All./Gm | 33.3 | 32 |
| 60.3 | 29 | Plays/Gm | 51.3 | 31 |
| 65.7 | 30 | Opp. Plays/Gm | 67.3 | 22 |
| 4.9 | 22 | Off. Yards/Play | 5.5 | 10 |
| 4.9 | 10 | Def. Yards/Play | 6.7 | 32 |
| 40.28% | 22 | Rush% | 38.74% | 26 |
| 59.72% | 11 | Pass% | 61.26% | 7 |
| 48.70% | 31 | Opp. Rush % | 46.95% | 28 |
| 51.30% | 2 | Opp. Pass % | 53.05% | 5 |
- Denver is one of two remaining teams (Carolina being the other) that have not covered the point spread in any game yet this season.
- The Packers are averaging 41.2 offensive touches per game, 31st in the NFL.
- Green Bay has had 31.1% of their set of downs reach third and long (needing seven or more yards), the highest rate in the league. The league average is 22.5%.
- 15.6% of the drives against Denver have gone three and out, the lowest rate in the league. The league average is 33.6%.
- Denver is averaging 134.0 fewer yards per game than their opponent, the largest differential in the league.
- Green Bay is averaging 56.2 fewer yards per game than their opponent, 26th in the league.
- 42.5% of the yardage allowed by Green Bay has been via rushing, the highest rate in the league.
- The Broncos are second in the NFL in rate of runs to gain 10 or more yards (15.6%).
- 50.3% of the rushing yards by Denver have come on runs of 10 or more yards, seventh in the league.
- 54.8% of the rushing yardage allowed Denver has come on runs of 10 or more yards, 30th in the league.
Trust = spike production for that player
Quarterback
Russell Wilson: Up until last week, Wilson had played relatively well and was the least of Denver’s early-season issues.
That was thrown out of the window against the Chiefs as Wilson was 13-of-22 for just 95 yards with one touchdown and two interceptions.
Those 95 passing yards were the third-lowest total for Wilson in a game over his career and his fewest in a game since 2018.
Wilson had been a QB1 in four of his first five games, and we have been talking about the Kansas City defense being underrated all season, so we will not completely run and hide… but that quickly gave gamers flashbacks to Wilson’s 2022 season.
Wilson will look to bounce back against a Green Bay defense that has held each of the past three quarterbacks they have faced below their average point total entering the matchup.
That includes Jared Goff, who scored 6.9 points below his average entering the matchup.
The Packers have not faced a wealth of strong quarterbacks, but the most passing yards they have allowed in a game is 237. They have not allowed multiple passing touchdowns in a game yet this season.
Green Bay is fifth in the league in terms of pressure rate (39.8%), and they are blitzing at the second-highest rate in the league (38.9%).
Wilson has been solid when pressured, averaging 6.9 yards per pass attempt (eighth) with a 94.3 rating (third).
But when blitzed, Wilson has the lowest passer rating in the league at 50.6. Against the blitz, he is 21-of-36 (58.3%) for 199 yards (5.5 Y/A) with zero touchdowns and two interceptions.
Wilson is more of a QB2 here.
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