The Worksheet, a comprehensive fantasy football preview by Rich Hribar, breaks down everything you need to know about the Week 10 matchup between the Patriots and Colts.
Find a breakdown of every Week 10 NFL game in our Worksheet Hub.
| Indianapolis | Rank | @ | New England | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | Spread | 1.5 | ||
| 22.5 | Implied Total | 20.5 | ||
| 25.8 | 7 | Points/Gm | 15.0 | 31 |
| 26.9 | 28 | Points All./Gm | 25.3 | 26 |
| 66.0 | 8 | Plays/Gm | 61.0 | 24 |
| 69.7 | 32 | Opp. Plays/Gm | 67.0 | 27 |
| 5.2 | 15 | Off. Yards/Play | 4.7 | 24 |
| 5.2 | 16 | Def. Yards/Play | 5 | 9 |
| 43.77% | 11 | Rush% | 38.07% | 27 |
| 56.23% | 22 | Pass% | 61.93% | 6 |
| 44.98% | 24 | Opp. Rush % | 43.28% | 17 |
| 55.02% | 9 | Opp. Pass % | 56.72% | 16 |
- The Colts are allowing a league-high 5.0 scoring plays per game.
- The Patriots are averaging 3.1 scoring plays per game, 30th in the league.
- The Colts have scored 49.5 more points than their implied total this season, the most in the league.
- The Patriots have scored 42.75 fewer points than their implied total, 31st in the league.
- 40.8% of the New England possessions have failed to gain a first down or touchdown, 30th in the league.
- 37.6% of the Indianapolis possessions have failed to gain a first down or touchdown, 28th in the league.
- 40.8% of the opponent drives against New England have failed to gain a first down or touchdown, fourth in the league.
- 60.0% (15-of-25) of the touchdowns allowed by the Colts have come via rushing, the highest rate in the league.
- 55.9% of the Indianapolis set of downs with Gardner Minshew on the field have reached third down (31st in the league).
- That rate was 41.7% with Anthony Richardson in the game, third in the league.
Trust = spike production for that player
Quarterback
Gardner Minshew: Since Minshew had that magical outing against the Browns in Week 7 with 13.3 yards per attempt and 27.1 fantasy points, he has been the QB16 (14.8 points) and QB21 (9.6 points).
Minshew has thrown for 5.2 and 4.9 yards per attempt the past two weeks against the Saints and Panthers.
If you are using Minshew outside of single-game DFS and are looking for a rainbow to chase, he does have better splits against man coverage, which New England has played at the fifth-highest rate in the NFL (32.3%).
Minshew is averaging 7.5 Y/A against man coverage (16th) with five touchdowns and two interceptions as opposed to 6.6 Y/A (27th) with two touchdowns and three interceptions against zone coverage.
The Patriots are allowing 14.8 passing points per game, 24th in the league.
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