The Worksheet, a comprehensive fantasy football preview by Rich Hribar, breaks down everything you need to know about the Week 9 matchup between the Eagles and Jaguars.
Find a breakdown of every Week 9 NFL game in our Worksheet Hub.
| Jacksonville | Rank | @ | Philadelphia | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | Spread | -7.5 | ||
| 19 | Implied Total | 26.75 | ||
| 21.5 | 21 | Points/Gm | 24.4 | 10 |
| 28 | 29 | Points All./Gm | 18.9 | 7 |
| 57.9 | 28 | Plays/Gm | 64.4 | 5 |
| 63.6 | 23 | Opp. Plays/Gm | 58.7 | 7 |
| 5.8 | 10 | Off. Yards/Play | 5.7 | 12 |
| 6 | 31 | Def. Yards/Play | 5.1 | 6 |
| 41.68% | 23 | Rush% | 53.22% | 1 |
| 58.32% | 10 | Pass% | 46.78% | 32 |
| 41.65% | 12 | Opp. Rush % | 40.39% | 8 |
| 58.35% | 21 | Opp. Pass % | 59.61% | 25 |
- After averaging 1.40 points per drive over their first four games (28th), Jacksonville has averaged 2.48 points per drive over their past four games (12th).
- 44.4% (12-of-27) of the scoring plays allowed by the Eagles have been touchdowns, the 2nd-lowest rate in the league.
- The Eagles allowed a league-low 0.97 points per drive in October.
- The Jaguars are allowing 2.61 points per drive, 30th in the league.
- Jacksonville has allowed a touchdown on 30.6% of opponent possessions, 31st in the league.
- The Jaguars have -93.5 EPA as a pass defense, the worst in the NFL. The next closest team (Carolina) is at -65.3.
Trust = spike production for that player
Quarterback
Jalen Hurts (TRUST): Hurts was hyper-efficient on Sunday as the Eagles once again attacked through the air minimally.
Hurts was 16-of-20 passing with a season-high 11.8 yards per pass attempt.
Since returning from bye, only Jared Goff has thrown for more yards per attempt (10.5 Y/A) than Hurts (10.4 Y/A).
Hurts added 3 rushing touchdowns, giving him 7 on the season.
The Eagles once again went with a run-heavy approach on Sunday.
Out of their bye, the Eagles have dropback rates of 41.9%, 35.6%, and 35.4%.
As significant home favorites here, Hurts will be forced to remain efficient and effective on the ground.
This is the matchup to do so.
The Jaguars are 31st in passing points allowed per attempt (0.552).
Jacksonville has played man coverage on 41.1% of passing plays, 2nd-highest in the league.
Against man coverage, Hurts averages 10 Y/A (3rd) with a 7.8% touchdown rate (10th).
As part of playing so much man coverage, the Jaguars are also 23rd in rushing yards per game to quarterbacks (26.3).
They have allowed double-digit rushing yards to a quarterback in every game this season.
Trevor Lawrence: Lawrence has played well after a slow start to the season.
In October, Lawrence was 6th in rating (109.0), completing 71.9% of his passes (2nd) for 9.1 Y/A (5th) and a 5.8% touchdown rate (11th).
He averaged 19.2 fantasy points per game in October after averaging 12.1 per game in September.
This would be a good spot for a potential shootout, but Lawrence could be entering Sunday with a skeleton crew at wide receiver.
Christian Kirk was lost for the season due to a broken collarbone.
Brian Thomas Jr. is questionable with a chest injury.
Gabe Davis suffered a shoulder injury and his status is unclear to start the week.
With all of those moving parts, we will handle Lawrence as a QB2 that could have added appeal should Thomas Jr. at least be able to play this week.
The Eagles came out of the bye and limited Deshaun Watson (8.4 points) and Daniel Jones (6 points), which was no big deal.
But then they also held Joe Burrow to a QB24 (12.9 points) scoring week last week.
Running Back
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More Week 9 Fantasy Breakdowns From The Worksheet:
| Matchup | Time |
|---|---|
| Texans @ Jets -- FREE | Thursday Night Football |
| Cowboys @ Falcons | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Dolphins @ Bills | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Raiders @ Bengals | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Chargers @ Browns | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Patriots @ Titans | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Commanders @ Giants | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Saints @ Panthers | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Broncos @ Ravens | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Jaguars @ Eagles | Sunday -- 4:05 p.m. ET |
| Bears @ Cardinals | Sunday -- 4:05 p.m. ET |
| Lions @ Packers | Sunday -- 4:25 p.m. ET |
| Rams @ Seahawks | Sunday -- 4:25 p.m. ET |
| Colts @ Vikings | Sunday Night Football |
| Bucs @ Chiefs -- FREE | Monday Night Football |
