The Worksheet, a comprehensive fantasy football preview by Rich Hribar, breaks down everything you need to know about the Week 11 matchup between the Jets and Colts.

Find a breakdown of every Week 11 NFL game in our Worksheet Hub.

IndianapolisRank@NY JetsRank
3.5Spread-3.5
20.25Implied Total23.75
20.818Points/Gm17.726
22.316Points All./Gm21.410
58.329Plays/Gm59.726
68.432Opp. Plays/Gm62.118
5.514Off. Yards/Play522
5.726Def. Yards/Play4.94
44.08%16Rush%36.01%29
55.92%17Pass%63.99%4
48.83%28Opp. Rush %49.92%30
51.17%5Opp. Pass %50.08%3

  • New York home games average a league-low 30.8 combined points per game.
  • The Jets have allowed a league-low 12.3 points per game at home compared to 27.5 per game on the road (25th).
  • The Jets have allowed 1.20 points per drive at home (2nd) compared to 2.55 points per drive on the road (27th).
  • The Colts have a 37.4% success on passing plays, 29th in the league.
  • The Jets have a 64.3% success rate against passing plays, 1st in the league.
  • The Colts are averaging 5.2 yards per play compared to the 5.8 yards they averaged with Anthony Richardson.
  • The Jets have five passing plays of 30 or more yards, ahead of only the Browns (4). At this time a year ago, they had 10 passing plays of 30-plus yards.


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Trust = spike production for that player

Quarterback

Aaron Rodgers: Rodgers had his worst outing of the year on Sunday. 

He set season lows in passing yards (151) and yards per pass attempt (4.3 Y/A), while he failed to throw a touchdown pass for the first time since Week 4.

Only 14.3% of his pass attempts were 10 yards or further downfield. 

That was a season-low ahead of only Caleb Williams (13.3%) last week.

Rodgers has only had one QB1 scoring week in his past seven games.

He is a QB2 for fantasy purposes, but there is some silver lining here if you are running him out in 2QB formats.

Rodgers has been a lot better at home this season.

He has completed 66.7% of his passes for 7.0 Y/A with 7 touchdowns and 1 interception at home.

He has completed 59.4% of his passes on the road for 6.0 Y/A with 8 touchdowns and 6 interceptions.

Rodgers is averaging 16.6 passing points per game at home and has been in the front half of the position in weekly scoring in three of those four games.

The Colts are 20th in passing points allowed per attempt (0.430) and 22nd in passing points allowed per game (14.1).

Anthony Richardson: The Colts are going back to Richardson as their starter.

After another three turnovers, the Colts dropped to 1-3 in Joe Flacco’s starts.

Flacco completed 66.5% of his passes compared to 44.4% for Richardson, but he was completing more passes at the expense of more negative plays.

Flacco has more turnover-worthy plays (9) than Richardson (8). 

Flacco has been sacked on 26% of his pressures (32nd) compared to 18.4% for Richardson (11th).

We still cannot trust Richardson as more than a boom-or-bust QB2.

He has finished QB22 or lower in every start since Week 1.

The Jets’ defense has wavered of late since firing Robert Salehallowing 7.8 yards per attempt (25th).

But they have been excellent at home this year.

They have allowed a 54.2% completion rate (3rd), 5.5 Y/A (1st), and only 3 touchdown passes (1st) at home this season.

They also have a league-high 13.7% sack rate at home.

Where there is a path for Richardson is with his legs.

The Jets have allowed 5.3 rushing points per game to quarterbacks (30th).

Running Back

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More Week 11 Fantasy Breakdowns From The Worksheet:

MatchupTime
Commanders @ EaglesThursday Night Football
Packers @ BearsSunday -- 1 p.m. ET
Jaguars @ LionsSunday -- 1 p.m. ET
Vikings @ TitansSunday -- 1 p.m. ET
Raiders @ DolphinsSunday -- 1 p.m. ET
Rams @ PatriotsSunday -- 1 p.m. ET
Browns @ SaintsSunday -- 1 p.m. ET
Colts @ JetsSunday -- 1 p.m. ET
Ravens @ SteelersSunday -- 1 p.m. ET
Falcons @ BroncosSunday -- 4:05 p.m. ET
Seahawks @ 49ersSunday -- 4:05 p.m. ET
Chiefs @ BillsSunday -- 4:25 p.m. ET
Bengals @ ChargersSunday Night Football
Texans @ CowboysMonday Night Football