As Week 14 rolls in, the NFL schedule brings intriguing matchups with opportunities for bettors to capitalize on player props.
From touchdown totals in the Bears-49ers clash to Brock Purdy’s interception potential and Jalen Hurts’ passing touchdown line against the Panthers, there’s no shortage of value to dissect.
With key injuries, defensive strengths, and team tendencies shaping the narrative, let’s break down these props and the stats driving these bets.
Week 14 Prediction: Brock Purdy to throw an interception (+100)
Brock Purdy has thrown 8 interceptions this season, and 7 of them have come at Levi’s Stadium. That trend alone raises eyebrows, but the matchup tilts the odds further in Chicago’s favor.
The Bears are tied for the fifth-most takeaways in the league, thriving on forcing mistakes.
Their defense is relentless, ranking sixth in pressure rate, bad news for a 49ers offensive line battling injuries.
A compromised line means Purdy will likely face constant heat, forcing hurried throws and increasing the chances of an error.
Chicago’s secondary isn’t just opportunistic—it’s stingy. The Bears rank seventh in opponent completion percentage, making it tough for quarterbacks to find rhythm or open targets.
Combine that with Purdy’s uncharacteristic struggles at home, and the stage is set for a mistake.
Additionally, the 49ers are dealing with injuries in their backfield, which could shift the game plan toward a pass-heavy approach. More passing attempts mean more opportunities for a defense like Chicago’s to pounce.
While Purdy has shown poise in spots this season, this matchup feels like a perfect storm.
With pressure coming fast and a ball-hawking secondary waiting, one errant throw could swing the game.
At +100, the value is there to back the Bears forcing Purdy’s 9th interception of the season.
Subscribe to the Sharp Football Email Newsletter to receive FREE BETS from NFL expert Warren Sharp this weekend:
Week 14 Prediction: Jalen Hurts Under 1.5 passing touchdowns
Jalen Hurts has been the engine of the Eagles offense, but in Week 14, the game script suggests a run-heavy approach that caps his passing potential.
Philadelphia’s offense is the most run-focused in the NFL, a strategy only bolstered by the addition of Saquon Barkley.
With Barkley charging toward a historic season, Hurts hasn’t needed to air it out — he hasn’t attempted more than 30 passes in over two months.
Facing a Panthers defense ranked dead last against the run and surrendering an average of 148 rushing yards per game, the Eagles have every reason to keep the ball on the ground.
Carolina’s glaring vulnerability invites a ground-and-pound attack, perfectly aligning with Philadelphia’s offensive identity.
The game’s context further tilts against Hurts' passing volume.
The Eagles enter as heavy 12.5-point favorites, and if they establish an early lead, expect them to grind the clock with their dominant rushing attack.
Hurts is more likely to rack up rushing touchdowns than passing ones in such a scenario.
Adding to the mix, the Panthers' pass rush has come alive, tallying 9 sacks in their last two games. With Philadelphia unlikely to risk exposing Hurts to unnecessary pressure, opportunities in the air may be sparse.
Given the Eagles’ run-first philosophy, Carolina’s defensive weaknesses, and the projected game flow, backing Hurts to stay under 1.5 passing touchdowns offers value.
Week 14 Prediction: Bears at 49ers Under 4.5 touchdowns (+135)
The 49ers offense has hit a serious snag, with injuries wreaking havoc on their offensive line and backfield.
This domino effect has dragged down their passing game, leaving quarterback Brock Purdy struggling to find his rhythm.
Over the last two games, Purdy has averaged just 5.4 yards per attempt — a clear dip, even considering one game was played in snowy conditions.
Zooming in on Purdy's home stats, the picture doesn’t get much brighter.
He’s managed only 4 touchdowns across six games, an average of less than one per outing. Against a feisty Bears secondary, this trend is unlikely to improve.
Speaking of Chicago, their defense has been a quiet force, allowing just 11 passing touchdowns all season.
Ranking 12th in pass defense with only 209 passing yards per game allowed, the Bears are built to frustrate quarterbacks like Purdy.
On the flip side, the Bears offense has its own hurdles, particularly on the road.
Averaging just 18 points per game away from home (sixth-lowest in the league), their scoring capability is far from explosive.
Even worse, they’ve been shut out in seven of their last 12 road-game quarters, further emphasizing their struggles to find the end zone.
With the 49ers offense limping and the Bears defense showing teeth, this matchup screams low-scoring slugfest. Back the under and enjoy the grind.
