The Worksheet, a comprehensive fantasy football preview by Rich Hribar, breaks down everything you need to know about the Week 15 matchup between the Seahawks and Packers on Sunday Night Football.
Find a breakdown of every Week 15 NFL game in our Worksheet Hub.
| Green Bay | Rank | @ | Seattle | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| -3.0 | Spread | 3.0 | ||
| 25.0 | Implied Total | 22.0 | ||
| 26.8 | 7 | Points/Gm | 23.2 | 15 |
| 21.1 | 9 | Points All./Gm | 21.8 | 11 |
| 59.9 | 24 | Plays/Gm | 62.3 | 16 |
| 61.5 | 14 | Opp. Plays/Gm | 63.0 | 23 |
| 6.3 | 3 | Off. Yards/Play | 5.5 | 13 |
| 5.3 | 11 | Def. Yards/Play | 5.4 | 13 |
| 50.83% | 3 | Rush% | 37.41% | 27 |
| 49.17% | 30 | Pass% | 62.59% | 6 |
| 42.25% | 13 | Opp. Rush % | 42.61% | 14 |
| 57.75% | 20 | Opp. Pass % | 57.39% | 19 |
- The Seahawks have the best defensive EPA since Week 9 (41.08).
- Seattle has allowed a league-low 1.35 points per drive over that span.
- Green Bay leads the league in yards per play on offense (6.6) over that span.
- Since their Week 10 bye, only 34.7% of the Green Bay set of downs have reached third down, the lowest rate in the league.
- Seattle is 55.6% over that same span, 29th in the league.
- Seattle has scored on 27.5% of their drives at home (29th) compared to 46.7% on the road (4th).
- The Seahawks are averaging 1.50 points per drive at home this season, 28th in the league.
- Green Bay averages 2.53 points per drive on the road, fourth in the league.
- The Packers lead the NFL in points scored off turnovers (97).
Trust = spike production for that player
Quarterback
Jordan Love: Love was 12-of-20 (60%) for 206 yards and a touchdown on Thursday in Detroit.
He ended the week QB15 (14.5 points).
Love has not finished a week higher than QB12 in weekly scoring since Week 6.
That said, he has rarely bottomed out, either.
He has finished lower than QB16 in weekly scoring just once in a week where he finished the game.
Love is best used as a QB2 but has lived on that fringe QB1 line.
He still offers juice per throw, but his volume and accuracy have been volatile.
Love is averaging 8.3 yards per pass attempt (6th) and a 6.4% touchdown rate (6th) but has a 62.8% completion percentage (28th).
Love is 30th in expected completion percentage, which has more to do with the types of throws he has been taking.
He is third in air yards per attempt (9.2).
25.6% of his throws are 15 yards or further downfield, second in the league.
The Packers' 46.6% dropback rate over the past four games is also 31st in the league.
He averages 22 pass attempts per game over that span with a high of 28.
Seattle is playing better defense of late.
They have not allowed a passer to throw for 7.0 yards per attempt in a game since Week 8.
They have allowed multiple passing touchdowns in three of their past five games, but they have allowed only 11.4 passing points per game since their bye to Brock Purdy, Kyler Murray (x2), and Aaron Rodgers.
Over that span, Seattle has allowed a 41.2% completion rate on throws 10 yards or further downfield, which is seventh in the league.
Geno Smith: Smith was efficient on Sunday, connecting on 24-of-30 passes for 233 yards and a touchdown.
Unfortunately, that did not result in fantasy points.
Smith ended the week QB 20 (13.3 points).
This was the fourth week in a row where Smith ended the week QB20 or lower.
Smith has two QB1 scoring weeks over his past 10 games and is stuck as a QB2 now that the bye weeks are over.
The Green Bay defense and this game environment can offer a usable floor for 2QB gamers, however.
The Packers are 17th in passing points allowed per game (13.7).
When the Packers have not pressured the opposing quarterback, they have allowed a 74.1% completion rate (26th), 8.2 Y/A (28th), and a 5.4% touchdown rate (25th).
Smith has been one of the most sensitive quarterbacks to pressure this season.
When pressured, Smith has a 58.8 rating (29th), throwing a league-high 10 interceptions.
But when kept clean, Smith has completed 76.4% of his passes (4th) with 9 touchdowns and 2 interceptions.
Running Back
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More Week 15 Fantasy Breakdowns From The Worksheet:
| Matchup | Time |
|---|---|
| Rams @ 49ers -- FREE | Thursday Night Football |
| Chiefs @ Browns | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Bengals @ Titans | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Commanders @ Saints | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Ravens @ Giants | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Cowboys @ Panthers | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Jets @ Jaguars | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Dolphins @ Texans | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Colts @ Broncos | Sunday -- 4:25 p.m. ET |
| Bills @ Lions | Sunday -- 4:25 p.m. ET |
| Steelers @ Eagles | Sunday -- 4:25 p.m. ET |
| Patriots @ Cardinals | Sunday -- 4:25 p.m. ET |
| Bucs @ Chargers | Sunday -- 4:25 p.m. ET |
| Packers @ Seahawks | Sunday Night Football |
| Bears @ Vikings -- FREE | Monday Night Football |
| Falcons @ Raiders -- FREE | Monday Night Football |
