The Worksheet, a comprehensive fantasy football preview by Rich Hribar, breaks down everything you need to know about the Week 16 matchup between the Bengals and Browns.
Find a breakdown of every Week 16 NFL game in our Worksheet Hub.
| Cleveland | Rank | @ | Cincinnati | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | Spread | -7.5 | ||
| 20.0 | Implied Total | 27.5 | ||
| 17.1 | 30 | Points/Gm | 28.5 | 5 |
| 25.4 | 26 | Points All./Gm | 27.6 | 31 |
| 66.0 | 2 | Plays/Gm | 62.1 | 16 |
| 61.4 | 14 | Opp. Plays/Gm | 64.8 | 27 |
| 4.7 | 30 | Off. Yards/Play | 5.8 | 8 |
| 5.6 | 19 | Def. Yards/Play | 5.7 | 25 |
| 34.63% | 31 | Rush% | 35.56% | 30 |
| 65.37% | 2 | Pass% | 64.44% | 3 |
| 46.98% | 25 | Opp. Rush % | 44.65% | 19 |
| 53.02% | 8 | Opp. Pass % | 55.35% | 14 |
- Cincinnati is 6-1 against teams with a losing record this season compared to 0-7 against teams with a winning record.
- The Bengals' success rate on passing plays is 50.5%, second in the league behind the Lions (53.1%).
- The Browns have a 37.1% success rate on passing plays, the worst rate in the league.
- The Bengals average 2.85 points per drive at home, third in the league.
- The Bengals have scored a league-high 14 touchdowns outside the red zone.
- The Browns average 2.9 fewer sacks plus takeaways per game than their opponent, the worst differential in the league.
- 22.2% of Cleveland's possessions have reached the red zone or scored prior, the lowest rate in the league.
- Cleveland is allowing a league-high 6.8 yards per play on third downs.
Trust = spike production for that player
Quarterback
Joe Burrow: Burrow did not have his cleanest game on Sunday (3 turnovers), but he still managed to backdoor a QB12 scoring week (16.8 points) on the strength of 271 yards and 3 more passing touchdowns.
Burrow has thrown for over 250 yards and 3 touchdowns in six straight games.
The only other quarterback to do that was Tom Brady in 2007.
If Burrow does that again this week, he will surpass Brady’s streak.
Burrow has reeled off six straight QB1 scoring weeks to go with those outings.
You are starting him as a front-end QB1 where you have him. The only question is how to play things for DFS.
Burrow has not played great in this matchup.
He has gone five games without a QB1 scoring week against the Browns.
That includes their Week 7 matchup when Burrow was QB15 (14.9 points), completing 15-of-25 passes for 181 yards and 2 touchdowns.
The Browns have not allowed more than 2 passing touchdowns in any game this season.
They have allowed a 60.5% completion rate (2nd in the league) but a league-high 12.5 yards per completion when passes have connected.
Dorian Thompson-Robinson: The Browns are turning to Thompson-Robinson as the starter this week after Jameis Winston threw 8 interceptions over the past three weeks.
This will be Thompson-Robinson’s first start this season, but he did appear against Cincinnati when Deshaun Watson suffered his Achilles injury.
In that game, Thompson-Robinson was 11-of-24 for 82 yards with 2 interceptions.
There have been 64 quarterbacks to throw the football 100 or more times since the start of last season.
Thompson-Robinson’s 42.6 rating is dead last on that list.
He has completed 51.4% of his passes (62nd) for 3.7 yards per attempt (last), with 1 touchdown and 7 interceptions.
15.8% of his throws have been inaccurate, with his 61st on that list.
There is mobility here, but Thompson-Robinson's scramble rate is only 4.4%, 36th among all quarterbacks over the past two seasons.
Even as a QB2, Thompson-Robinson is a thin fantasy option.
Running Back
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More Week 16 Fantasy Breakdowns From The Worksheet:
| Matchup | Time |
|---|---|
| Broncos @ Chargers -- FREE | Thursday Night Football |
| Texans @ Chiefs -- FREE | Saturday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Steelers @ Ravens -- FREE | Saturday -- 4:30 p.m. ET |
| Giants @ Falcons | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Lions @ Bears | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Browns @ Bengals | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Titans @ Colts | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Rams @ Jets | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Eagles @ Commanders | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Cardinals @ Panthers | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Vikings @ Seahawks | Sunday -- 4:05 p.m. ET |
| Patriots @ Bills | Sunday -- 4:25 p.m. ET |
| Jaguars @ Raiders | Sunday -- 4:25 p.m. ET |
| 49ers @ Dolphins | Sunday -- 4:25 p.m. ET |
| Bucs @ Cowboys | Sunday Night Football |
| Saints @ Packers -- FREE | Monday Night Football |
