The AFC and NFC Championship Games are here.
With powerhouse matchups between the Bills and Chiefs as well as the Commanders and Eagles, the action promises to deliver plenty of drama and betting opportunities.
Let’s break down the key narratives and where the value lies for these two highly anticipated games.
Click here for Pam's best prop bets for the AFC & NFC Championship Games
NFC Championship Game Prediction: Commanders at Eagles Over 47.5
Saquon Barkley has been a nightmare for the Commanders all season, and there’s little reason to believe they can stop him now.
Barkley rushed for 146 and 150 yards in two matchups against Washington this year, torching a defense ranked 28th in success rate allowed and 26th in touchdowns surrendered to running backs.
Barkley’s explosive ability is unmatched. He holds the record for the most 20+ yard touchdown runs in a season during the 2000s.
Coming off a dominant 205-yard performance against the Rams, Barkley has averaged over 160 rushing yards across his last four games.
With the NFL’s best offensive line creating massive holes, Barkley is poised to dismantle Washington’s soft front seven again, as poor tackling and lack of push up front remain consistent liabilities.
On the other side, Jayden Daniels has elevated the Commanders offense, especially in high-pressure moments.
Daniels leads the NFL in fourth-quarter scoring and boasts a remarkable 66.7% completion rate under playoff pressure.
His ability to read defenses quickly and exploit zone coverages makes him a dangerous weapon.
Daniels’ dual-threat capability adds another layer of complexity for Philadelphia.
He rushed for 81 yards in the divisional round against Detroit and could exploit a Philadelphia defense that ranks 24th in fourth-down stops.
Washington’s aggressive fourth-down strategy, converting 81.3% of attempts, ensures sustained drives and maximized scoring opportunities.
Philadelphia has already surpassed 200 rushing yards in both matchups against Washington this season, and the Commanders' offensive firepower under Daniels should keep pace.
Bet the over.
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AFC Championship Game Prediction: Bills at Chiefs Under 47.5
Both teams have exhibited weaknesses in recent playoff performances, creating a game environment that points toward a lower-scoring affair.
Buffalo's offense struggled against Baltimore, with Josh Allen managing just 127 passing yards and no touchdowns.
Similar struggles could arise against a Chiefs defense that excels at pressuring quarterbacks and disrupting passing games under Steve Spagnuolo’s creative schemes.
Buffalo’s conservative play-calling, particularly when holding a lead, could further limit scoring opportunities as it did against the Ravens.
The Bills also struggled to generate explosive plays, relying instead on methodical drives, and their red zone inefficiency—settling for field goals rather than touchdowns—remains a concern.
Kansas City’s offensive showing against the Texans was equally unconvincing, with the team totaling only 212 yards and struggling to create big plays.
Patrick Mahomes has had difficulty connecting on deep passes, a weakness the Bills’ disciplined secondary is well-suited to exploit.
Kansas City’s offensive line, particularly at left tackle, has been vulnerable, and Buffalo’s pass rush could make life difficult for Mahomes.
Add in the Chiefs' third-down struggles and mediocre red zone efficiency (converting just 52.8% of opportunities into touchdowns, 24th), and their scoring potential appears capped.
Both defenses are poised to take advantage of these offensive flaws.
Buffalo’s ability to generate pressure without blitzing could disrupt Mahomes’ rhythm, while their secondary will be ready to capitalize on mistakes.
Similarly, Kansas City’s pass rush and coverage versatility could force Allen into errors or stymie the Bills' offense altogether.
Bet the under.
