Bet365 Bonus Code SHARP365: $1,000 First Bet Safety Net for Bills vs. Chiefs

Buffalo Bills vs. Kansas City Chiefs Best Bet Prediction

The Kansas City Chiefs (16-2) are one win away from getting closer to a Super Bowl three-peat than any team in NFL history. This game has a real 1990 postseason flavor to it as that was the last time a team (49ers) came this close to the three-peat, and it was also the closest the Buffalo Bills ever came to winning that elusive championship. The winner of this game will be favored in Super Bowl LIX, so some are already calling this the real Super Bowl. The Chiefs are just a 1.5-point home favorite at Bet365, but we have a Bills vs. Chiefs preview that suggests this game will come down to ball security for two of the best to ever do it.

It's the Turnovers

None of Sunday's final four NFL teams have turned the ball over this postseason, so it is likely going to come down to who wins that key battle:

• The 2024 Chiefs have gone eight games without a giveaway, a new NFL record.
• The 2024 Bills have gone 21 games without losing the turnover battle, the longest streak in the Super Bowl era.
• The 2024 Bills have eight giveaways in 19 games, another NFL record.
• The 2024 Bills are now +16 in fumble recoveries, the second-best margin since the 2000 Ravens.
• Clean Game? Maybe it won't come down to the turnovers, as the 2024 Chiefs are the first team ever to play five games in a season where neither team turned it over.

How Do the Bills Pull It Off?

The Bills have quite arguably been the second-best team in the NFL since 2020, but they are 0-3 in the playoffs against the Chiefs. How do they get over the hump?

• The Bills are the only team to score 30 points on the Chiefs' starters in the last two seasons.
• Josh Allen is enjoying the best offensive line and running back play of his career, and the Chiefs' run defense has allowed four of its worst games in the last five weeks.
• With Keon Coleman and Dalton Kincaid back, the Bills will have more offensive options than they did in Week 11.
• The Chiefs are playing their best guard (Joe Thuney) at left tackle, and their veteran wideouts (Hollywood Brown and DeAndre Hopkins) failed to make a catch last week.

Who Gets the Job Done?

The game is very much a coin flip, as it usually is when these teams meet. But the Chiefs have a bit more to play for and are the home team, which matters in this round:

• Home teams win over 67% of the time in the Conference Championship round.
• The Bills were only 2-3 against playoff teams in the regular season, losing in Houston, Baltimore, and Los Angeles.
• The Chiefs have won 16 consecutive one-score games, 16 of 19 playoff games in Patrick Mahomes' career, and they have only been swept by an opponent twice in seven years.

Exclusive Bills vs. Chiefs Betting Offer with the Bet365 Bonus Code: SHARP365

New customers have a great offer during the NFL Conference Championship Games. You can enter the Bet365 bonus code SHARP365 to get up to $1,000 in bonus bets if your first bet settles as a loss.

$1,000 First Bet Safety Net

• Minimum deposit: $10
• Bet $10 on Bills vs. Chiefs with odds of -500 or greater
• Can bet on player props (Travis Kelce over in receiving yards) or game props like the first-half spread
• If your bet loses, you will receive 100% of the stake (up to $1,000) in bonus bets
• Bonus bets will expire 7 days after you receive them

How to Claim the Bonus Before Kickoff

1. Visit the mobile site or download the Bet365 mobile app from the app store
2. Create your user account with Bet365 bonus code “SHARP365”
3. Deposit at least $10 into your account
4. Place a $10 bet on some of the markets we covered in our Bills vs. Chiefs preview:
   • Try a Same Game Parlay with player props and sides
   • Bet on Josh Allen to score another rushing touchdown for Buffalo
   • Trust the Chiefs to return to the Super Bowl with a moneyline win
5. If your first bet loses, up to $1,000 in bonus bets will be added to your account