Sharp Football's Rich Hribrar breaks down this 49ers vs Seahawks NFC Wild Card Playoff matchup:
Kicking off the weekend of rematches, the 49ers beat the Seahawks both times this season:
- San Francisco won 27-7 all of the way in Week 2 in a game started by Trey Lance and finished by Jimmy Garoppolo.
- The 49ers won 21-13 more recently in Week 15 with Brock Purdy under center.
San Francisco is entering the postseason as the league’s hottest team.
They have won 10 games in a row with a +161 point differential over that span, the largest in the league
No team played fewer games this season against teams with a winning record than the 49ers with just five, but two of those were against their opponent here this weekend. It also doesn’t hurt San Francisco that No. 7 seeds are 0-4 since the NFL expanded the playoffs two years ago.
Seattle exceeded preseason expectations mightily this year, but they did not close the season strong.
After opening the season 6-3, Seattle then went 3-5 the rest of the way, including an 0-3 record against the playoff teams they faced.
The offense went from averaging 2.34 points per drive (sixth in the league) while scoring on 44.3% of their drives (fifth) over that opening hot stretch before averaging 1.84 points per drive (18th) and scoring on 36.7% (18th) of their drives since.
Defensively is where the largest gap between these teams exists.
San Francisco allowed a league-low 1.42 points per drive while Seattle has allowed 2.05 points per drive (26th).
Opponents have scored on 25.7% of their drives against the 49ers (lowest rate in the league) while Seattle has allowed opponents to reach the end zone on 23.4% of drives (27th).
In their two games against the 49ers, Seattle scored just one offensive touchdown on 20 possessions. In those games, Seattle went three and out on 35.0% of their drives while San Francisco was at 13.6%.
» Read the full 49ers vs Seahawks Worksheet breakdown
49ers vs Seahawks Prediction
The 49ers are predicted to win this NFC Wild Card game with a 83.33% implied probability based on current betting lines. The moneyline model also predicts the 49ers will win with 77% confidence.
» Bet it Now: 49ers vs Seahawks
49ers vs Seahawks Odds, Spread, Total & Moneyline
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Seahawks | +9.5 -110 | 42.5 -110 | +375 |
| 49ers | -9.5 -110 | 42.5 -110 | -500 |
49ers vs Seahawks Team Comparison:
| Seattle | Rank | @ | San Francisco | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Spread | -10 | ||
| 16.75 | Implied Total | 26.75 | ||
| 23.9 | 9 | Points/Gm | 26.5 | 6 |
| 23.6 | 25 | Points All./Gm | 16.3 | 1 |
| 61.4 | 23 | Plays/Gm | 61.6 | 22 |
| 65.7 | 30 | Opp. Plays/Gm | 60.4 | 5 |
| 5.7 | 7 | Off. Yards/Play | 5.9 | 4 |
| 5.5 | 21 | Def. Yards/Play | 5 | 4 |
| 40.71% | 22 | Rush% | 48.14% | 7 |
| 59.29% | 11 | Pass% | 51.86% | 26 |
| 47.00% | 29 | Opp. Rush % | 37.91% | 2 |
| 53.00% | 4 | Opp. Pass % | 62.09% | 31 |
Seahawks Best Bets Against the Spread
- The Seahawks have hit the 2H Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 games (+10.15 Units / 56% ROI)
- The Seahawks have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 13 games (+8.20 Units / 52% ROI)
- The Seahawks have scored last in 9 of their last 10 games (+8.05 Units / 66% ROI)
- The Seahawks have covered the 4Q Spread in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.75 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Seahawks have covered the 3Q Spread in 8 of their last 9 games (+6.50 Units / 56% ROI)
49ers Best Bets Against the Spread:
- The 49ers have hit the Moneyline in their last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 26% ROI)
- The 49ers have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 13 of their last 18 games (+9.05 Units / 28% ROI)
- The 49ers have covered the 2Q Spread in 14 of their last 19 games (+8.70 Units / 40% ROI)
- The 49ers have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 10 games (+8.00 Units / 43% ROI)
- The 49ers have covered the Spread in 14 of their last 20 games (+7.40 Units / 34% ROI)
First & Anytime Touchdown Scorer Prediction & Bet:
George Kittle (TE, 49ers) is our pick for the 1st TD Scorer bet in this NFC Wild Card Weekend matchup.
49ers Defense is our pick for an anytime TD Scorer bet in this NFC Wild Card Weekend matchup.
» Get Anytime & 1st TD Scorer Bets for every Wild Card game
Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for 49ers vs Seahawks
| PLAYER NAME | OVER | UNDER |
|---|---|---|
| Deebo Samuel | 42.5 -115 | 42.5 -115 |
| Fant | 25.5 -115 | 25.5 -120 |
| Kenneth Walker III | 10.5 -115 | 10.5 -120 |
| DK Metcalf | 62.5 -115 | 62.5 -120 |
| Brandon Aiyuk | 45.5 -115 | 45.5 -115 |
Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for 49ers vs Seahawks
| PLAYER NAME | OVER | UNDER |
|---|---|---|
| Geno Smith | 15.5 -110 | 15.5 -120 |
| Kenneth Walker III | 60.5 -120 | 60.5 -110 |
| Christian Mccaffrey | 74.5 -110 | 74.5 -120 |
Seahawks Against the Spread Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Seahawks have gone 7-10 (-3.9 Units / -20.86% ROI).
- Seahawks are 9-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.25 Units / -5.41% ROI
- Seahawks are 8-9 when betting the Over for -1.95 Units / -10.4% ROI
- Seahawks are 9-8 when betting the Under for +0.2 Units / ROI
49ers Against the Spread Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the 49ers have gone 11-6 (+4.4 Units / 23.53% ROI).
- 49ers are 13-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.25 Units / 11.96% ROI
- 49ers are 9-8 when betting the Over for +0.2 Units / 1.07% ROI
- 49ers are 8-9 when betting the Under for -1.9 Units / -10.16% ROI
Continue reading from BetMGM's 49ers vs Seahawks game breakdown
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