What you need to know for Chiefs vs Lions Thursday Night Football:
- The Chiefs have won eight consecutive Week 1 games (6-2 ATS), the longest active streak in the league.
- Kansas City has averaged 36.4 points scored per game over that span, 37.8 per game with Patrick Mahomes as their starting quarterback.
- Games involving the Lions in 2022 averaged a league-high 51.8 combined points per game.
- Under Dan Campbell, the Lions are tied for a league-best 23-11 record against the spread (19-9 as an underdog).
- The Chiefs (36.9) and the Lions (36.0) were first and second in yardage gained per drive last season.
- The Chiefs led the NFL in points per drive last season (2.55).
- The Lions were third in the NFL in points per drive (2.40).
- Detroit allowed a league-high 2.32 points per drive in 2022.
- The Lions allowed a touchdown on a league-high 26.8% of opponent possessions while allowing a league-high 36.5 yards per drive.
- Detroit allowed a league-high 4.5 plays of 20 or more yards per game in 2022.
- The Chiefs averaged a league-high 4.9 plays of 20 or more yards per game in 2022.
» Read the full Lions vs Chiefs Worksheet breakdown
Chiefs vs Lions Prediction
The Chiefs are predicted to win this AFC Wild Card game with a 69.23% implied probability based on current betting lines. The moneyline model also predicts the Bengals will win with 64% confidence.
» Bet it Now: Chiefs vs Lions
Chiefs vs Lions Odds, Spread, Total & Moneyline
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Lions | +4.5 -110 | O 53.5 -110 | +180 |
| Chiefs | -4.5 -110 | U 53.5 -110 | -225 |
Lions vs Chiefs Team Comparison:
| Detroit | Rank | @ | Kansas City | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.5 | Spread | -4.5 | ||
| 23.75 | Implied Total | 30.25 | ||
| 26.6 | 5 | Points/Gm | 29.2 | 1 |
| 25.1 | 28 | Points All./Gm | 22.2 | 18 |
| 64.2 | 13 | Plays/Gm | 64.0 | 14 |
| 63.3 | 14 | Opp. Plays/Gm | 64.4 | 25 |
| 5.9 | 4 | Off. Yards/Play | 6.3 | 1 |
| 6.2 | 32 | Def. Yards/Play | 5.2 | 9 |
| 43.96% | 14 | Rush% | 38.52% | 25 |
| 56.04% | 19 | Pass% | 61.48% | 8 |
| 44.33% | 22 | Opp. Rush % | 37.81% | 2 |
| 55.67% | 11 | Opp. Pass % | 62.19% | 31 |
Chiefs Best Bets Against the Spread:
- Chiefs have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 11 games at home (+9.75 Units / 20% ROI)
- Chiefs have scored first in their last 7 games at home (+7.00 Units / 48% ROI)
- Chiefs have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.30 Units / 31% ROI)
- Chiefs have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.00 Units / 54% ROI)
- Chiefs have covered the 2Q Spread in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.45 Units / 37% ROI)
Lions Best Bets Against the Spread:
- Lions have hit the 2H Moneyline in 8 of their last 9 games (+10.40 Units / 95% ROI)
- Lions have covered the 4Q Spread in 10 of their last 11 games (+9.15 Units / 69% ROI)
- Lions have covered the 2H Spread in 9 of their last 10 games (+7.90 Units / 71% ROI)
- Lions have covered the 2Q Spread in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.50 Units / 54% ROI)
- Lions have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 10 games (+7.35 Units / 64% ROI)
First & Anytime Touchdown Scorer Prediction & Bet:
Skyy Moore (WR, Chiefs) is our pick for the 1st TD Scorer bet in this Week 1 matchup (+1400).
The sophomore receiver is coming into this season with a larger role in the absence of JuJu Smith-Schuster. Moore was second behind Marquez Valdes-Scantling in wide receiver routes with Patrick Mahomes during the preseason and scored a touchdown in The Super Bowl.
Lions vs Chiefs Anytime TD Scorer Bet, Thursday Night Football prediction:
Sam Laporta (TE, Lions) is our pick for the Anytime TD Scorer bet in this Week 1 matchup (+290).
In 2022, the Lions targeted tight ends on 40% of targets when inside the five-yard line. The rookie tight end is a solid touchdown candidate in the first game of his career.
Clyde Edwards-Helaire (RB, Chiefs) Anytime TD Scorer (+300)
Edwards-Helaire played the bulk of the snaps with Mahomes in preseason as Isiah Pacheco recovered from offseason surgery. It is safe to assume that Edwards-Helaire will get touches in Week 1.
» Get Anytime & 1st TD Scorer Bets for every Week 1 game
Best Chiefs Player Prop Bets:
- Jerick McKinnon has hit the Longest Rush Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 81% ROI)
- Jerick McKinnon has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 8 games at home (+8.00 Units / 74% ROI)
- Noah Gray has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.65 Units / 53% ROI)
- Patrick Mahomes has hit the Passing Yards Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+6.50 Units / 38% ROI)
- Isiah Pacheco has hit the Carries Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 73% ROI)
Best Lions Player Prop Bets:
- Jared Goff has hit the Interceptions Under in his last 9 games (+9.20 Units / 74% ROI)
- Kalif Raymond has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+7.05 Units / 71% ROI)
- Jared Goff has hit the TD Passes Under in 7 of his last 8 away games (+5.55 Units / 42% ROI)
- Kalif Raymond has hit the Longest Reception Over in his last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Jared Goff has hit the Pass Attempts Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+5.00 Units / 64% ROI)
Continue reading from BetMGM's Lions vs Chiefs game breakdown
