It’s that time of year to start looking at player props bets for the upcoming 2021 NFL season. In the coming weeks, we’ll take a look at some Over and Under Future bets worth considering at each position group.
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Why You Should Bet the OVER on Javonte Williams’s Rushing Yards Prop Bet
- Williams is better suited for the offense than Melvin Gordon
- Solid run-blocking offensive line
Denver Broncos second-round draft pick, running back Javonte Williams, is battling veteran Melvin Gordon for touches, but if the rookie wins the lion’s share of the workload, he should fly past these numbers available at some popular legal sportsbooks:
- 750.5 rushing yards on FanDuel
- 800.5 rushing yards on BetMGM
- 800.5 rushing yards on DraftKings
The Broncos roster construction appears to indicate this team will rely on a solid defense and the run game. As a result, Williams’s downhill running style probably makes him a better fit for the offense than Gordon.
In 2020, Gordon averaged 3.8 yards per carry between the tackles—below the NFL average (4.3). Meanwhile at North Carolina, Williams dominated between the tackles, picking up 6.1 yards per attempt, according to Sports Info Solutions.
Additionally, when contacted at or behind the line of scrimmage, Gordon was stuffed for zero or negative yards at the eighth highest rate in the league (49%). At the college level, Williams had the third-lowest rate in the nation (30%).
Assuming ball control is the game plan, Williams certainly appears better suited to keep the chains moving.
Broncos running backs will also benefit from a productive offensive line, which paved the way for 2.1 yards before contact in 2020, the eight best rate in the NFL.