Each week throughout the 2023 NFL Season, coach Kevin Kelley will give a coach's perspective and provide analysis for a few games against the spread.
Finally had a really good week where I won both main bets and was within a minute or so and 2 points of sweeping the Chick-fil-A money bets.
I really like a lot of the games this week, so I will settle on two that people most likely will want to watch because of potential playoff implications.
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Philadelphia Eagles vs. Dallas Cowboys Spread Prediction:
Look for the Dallas Cowboys to cover the spread as 3-point road underdogs against the Philadelphia Eagles and the game to go over 47 points.
» Bet the Cowboys +3 and Over 47 now
Why I like the Cowboys to cover the spread vs. the Eagles in Week 9:
The Dallas Cowboys and a very sharp-looking Dak Prescott go on the road to visit one of the guys that I think is a truly unsung leader out of the quarterbacks in the league, Jalen Hurts.
These two guys lead teams that match up pretty well. They both get after the passer with Micah Parsons leading the way for Dallas and Haason Reddick for the Eagles. Both have running backs that are very capable with neither using theirs quite as much as they should in Tony Pollard and D’Andre Swift. Both have clear No. 1 receivers on their team in A.J. Brown and CeeDee Lamb.
The slight advantage goes to the Cowboys on defense as they come in ranked No. 3 in DVOA while the Eagles, with a secondary that is giving up some things, are No. 18.
The Eagles allowed Sam Howell and the Commanders to pass for almost 400 yards last week. Dak threw for 304 on only 31 attempts averaging almost 10 yards per attempt against the Rams.
Hurts threw for 319 and has the hottest receiver in the league right now to throw toward. Everyone knows Brown has 6 straight games with over 125 yards.
Lamb, after coach Mike McCarthy was pummeled in the media as a playcaller, especially for not calling plays targeting Lamb more, has changed that with the Cowboys' best receiver catching 19 passes for 275 yards in the last two games.
Both teams have good TEs in Dallas Goedert and Jake Ferguson, who made an awesome catch for a TD down the seam last week.
Both teams have solid RBs as Swift averages almost 5 YPC and Troy Pollard is one of only three men to average 5 YPC over the last three years.
The case for the over has been made in my opinion with Dallas and Philadelphia hitting the number for the over on just the players alone and how they are playing on offense. But right in the middle of it, the Eagles and Cowboys are second and third in the league respectively in scoring or reaching the red zone. ‘
Let’s finish the above paragraph with two things that really shove me towards the over and a very good reason why I think Dallas will win this game.
First, neither team has a corner or a safety listed in the top 25 in PFF rankings for defensive backs.
Second, Philadelphia is 31st in the league at the highest percentage of scores to be TDs. That is why they are not blowing anyone out even though they are superior to some of the teams they have played, and it is why Dallas has a large advantage over them.
Give me Dallas +3 and over 47.
Cincinnati Bengals vs. Buffalo Bills Spread Predictions:
