Every NFL offseason, Warren Sharp releases his Football Preview Book, which uses expert analysis to break down all 32 teams through in-depth team chapters that are both data driven and actionable.
One of the most popular sections from each team chapter is the Sharp Football team's write-up on why to bet the Over or Under for a given team.
Ravens Over/Under Wins, 2023:
The Ravens are predicted to win 10.5 games in 2023, based on win totals from Vegas Odds.
Why You Should Bet the Over: Ravens Win Total in 2023
#1 Reason to Bet the Over:
Lamar Jackson signed his long-term contract and is healthy after disappearing for the final stretch of the season two years in a row.
The Ravens have a .722 winning percentage over the last four seasons in games that Jackson has started. That only trails Patrick Mahomes, Josh Allen, and Aaron Rodgers over that span.
#2 Reason to Bet Over:
The Ravens added a first-round pick in Zay Flowers and a future hall of famer who is 100% healthy in Odell Beckham.
Without a doubt, this will be the best receiving core Jackson has played with in his career. The Ravens also welcomed Todd Monken to town as the new play caller. The offensive line is among the league’s best five-man units.
The Ravens invested significant money and draft capital into the offense.
#3 Reason to Bet Over:
Jason Tucker is an elite kicker, but kicking a career-high 43 field goals last season was not ideal.
The Ravens were the third-worst team in the red zone with a 45.8% touchdown rate, a 14.9% drop from the previous season.
In the first twelve weeks with Jackson under center, the Ravens had a 51.2% touchdown rate. The Ravens should score more touchdowns this season with improved red zone efficiency.
» Bet the Ravens Win Total Over
Why You Should Bet the Under: Ravens Win Total in 2023
#1 Reason to Bet the Under:
The Ravens are projected to have the most challenging schedule of all the AFC North teams and the league’s 12th-most difficult schedule overall.
Last season, the Ravens finished with a 2-6 record against teams with a winning record. This year, the Ravens play 12 games against teams with a win total of over 8.5.
#2 Reason to Bet the Under:
As a result of much better health, the Ravens defense improved from 28th in Football Outsiders’ DVOA in 2021 to seventh in 2022.
The defense still has some questions, and it will be tested by the third-most difficult projected schedule of offenses in terms of efficiency.
The Ravens created a 30% pressure rate on opposing quarterbacks, the fifth-lowest rate in the league last season. The defensive line has also yet to replace Justin Houston, who racked up 9.5 sacks as a 33-year-old last season.
» Bet the Ravens Win Total Under
Baltimore Ravens Strength of Schedule:
The Ravens are ranked #21 out of all 32 teams for NFL Strength of Schedule, giving them the 12th-toughest schedule for the 2023 NFL season.
For full team chapters, including a dozen more visuals & info-graphics, defensive breakdown, and detailed Fantasy football implications pick up a copy of Warren Sharp’s new ‘2023 Football Preview’ book
All betting lines provided by BetMGM Sportsbook.