Every week during the NFL season, our experts will give you their favorite same game parlays from that week’s action.
Same Game Parlays have grown in popularity in recent seasons as recreational gamblers are drawn to parlay bets.
Parlays are especially exciting for casual gamblers looking to win more than double the original bet.
The sportsbook edge or hold on parlays is greater than on single bets because the hold is compounded during each additional bet.
This edge can be reduced by selecting correlated outcomes, as the likelihood of both occurring together may be higher than what the sportsbook’s odds suggest.
By identifying correlated outcomes, there’s a potential to turn a fun and recreational bet into a +EV opportunity.
What is a same game parlay?
A same game parlay is a wager that combines multiple bet outcomes or “legs” from a single game. Combining these bets increases the risk and, therefore, the potential payout if every leg hits.
These wagers are very often correlated, meaning if one of the legs wins, it is more likely the other legs will win as well.
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Same Game Parlay Picks Predictions & Bets for Super Bowl 59
Chiefs vs. Eagles Same Game Parlay:
- Travis Kelce (Chiefs) Receptions Over 6.5
- Patrick Mahomes (Chiefs) Completions Over 23.5
- DeVonta Smith (Eagles) Receiving Yards Over 52.5
If you combined every leg from this same game parlay, the odds would be +430.
This SGP is built around the Chiefs throwing often against the Eagles.
Kansas City's running game has not been efficient all season, and there is little reason to expect a change against the Eagles.
If the running game does struggle, we could see a lot more attempts and completions from Patrick Mahomes than we did in the first two playoff games.
When Mahomes throws, it is reasonable to expect the ball to go to Travis Kelce.
Since Nakobe Dean went down with an injury, the Eagles have faced 31 tight end targets in just two games.
The Eagles defense is good against everything, but it seems teams have identified at least a small weakness with Dean out of the lineup.
Finally, DeVonta Smith has a strong history against this defense.
In three career games against the Chiefs including Super Bowl 57, Smith has lines of 7-122-0, 7-100-0, and 6-99-0.
He also has been playing around 50% of his snaps in the slot this postseason, and the Chiefs have been markedly worse against slot receivers.
Chiefs vs. Eagles Same Game Parlay:
- Saquon Barkley (Eagles) Rushing Yards 150+
- Jalen Hurts (Eagles) Passing Attempts Under 27.5
- Eagles Moneyline
If you combined every leg from this same game parlay, the odds would be +650.
The logic behind this one is pretty simple.
The Chiefs will almost certainly focus their attention on shutting down Saquon Barkley, but if they fail, the Eagles are likely to lean on the running game as much as possible.
Steve Spagnuolo has worked miracles in the past, but the Chiefs defense has struggled to stop the run in recent weeks, and they specifically could struggle to stop Philly's 11 personnel rushing attack.
If that happens, Barkley should have a big, perhaps record-setting game, the Eagles will likely win, and they likely will not have to pass very much.
The Eagles have the second-lowest dropback rate in the league when leading in the second half this season.
As a result, Hurts has failed to top 27.5 attempts in 10 of the Eagles' 15 wins with him as the starter including two of the three playoff games.