The Worksheet, a fantasy football overview by Rich Hribar, breaking down everything you need to know for the Week 15 San Francisco 49ers at Seattle Seahawks Thursday Night Football game.
| San Francisco | Rank | @ | Seattle | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| -3.5 | Spread | 3.5 | ||
| 23.5 | Implied Total | 20 | ||
| 24.4 | 8 | Points/Gm | 26.3 | 6 |
| 15.2 | 1 | Points All./Gm | 25.7 | 30 |
| 62.5 | 20 | Plays/Gm | 59.2 | 27 |
| 60 | 3 | Opp. Plays/Gm | 67.6 | 32 |
| 5.8 | 8 | Off. Yards/Play | 6 | 4 |
| 4.8 | 3 | Def. Yards/Play | 5.6 | 18 |
| 46.80% | 10 | Rush% | 39.79% | 21 |
| 53.20% | 23 | Pass% | 60.21% | 12 |
| 37.18% | 3 | Opp. Rush % | 48.24% | 28 |
| 62.82% | 30 | Opp. Pass % | 51.76% | 5 |
- San Francisco is third in the NFC with a +120 point differential.
- Seattle is fourth in the NFC behind San Francisco, at +8 points.
- The 49ers are allowing a league-low 1.32 points per drive.
- The Seahawks are allowing 2.26 points per drive, 28th in the league.
- 42.1% of the Seattle drives have reached the red zone or scored prior, third in the league.
- 25.0% of the drives against San Francisco have reached the red zone or scored prior, the lowest rate in the league.
- Seattle is averaging 6.3 yards per play on first down, second in the league.
- San Francisco is allowing 4.3 yards per play on first down, the lowest rate in the league.
- The Seahawks have 598 fewer rushing yards than their opponent since Week 10, the worst differential in the league.
- Over that same span, the 49ers have 459 more rushing yards than their opponent, the best differential in the league.
Trust = spike production for that player
Quarterback
Geno Smith: It definitely wasn’t clean for Geno this week against Carolina, but he still did get there for fantasy.
Smith completed a season-low 58.3% of his passes while throwing multiple interceptions in a game for the first time this season. He was able to overcome those elements to still closed as the QB8 (20.6 points) as he threw for three touchdowns while adding 20 yards on the ground. Smith now has thrown multiple touchdown passes in each of his past seven games and in 11-of-13 games this season.
Smith now has 25 passing touchdowns on the year after throwing 34 passing touchdowns over his first eight years in the league.
One of the two games that Smith did not throw a touchdown pass this season was back in Week 2 against the 49ers. Smith closed that game as the QB30 (6.1 points), completing 24-of-30 passes for 197 yards (6.6 Y/A) with an interception.
The 49ers have allowed just two QB1 scoring weeks this season while allowing 6.6 yards per pass attempt (seventh) and a 2.7% touchdown rate (second) to opposing passers on their way to allowing just 10.9 passing points per game.
The Seahawks are unlikely to run the ball well here which can aid volume. Smith has been productive so far to where we do not have to throw the baby out with the bath water, but he is more of a fringe QB1 and a better 2QB start than someone that can provide us a ceiling we are looking for this time of the fantasy season.