The Worksheet, a comprehensive fantasy football preview by Rich Hribar, breaks down everything you need to know about the Week 9 matchup between the Bills and Bengals on Sunday Night Football.
Find a breakdown of every Week 9 NFL game in our Worksheet Hub.
| Buffalo | Rank | @ | Cincinnati | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.0 | Spread | -3.0 | ||
| 22.75 | Implied Total | 25.75 | ||
| 27.8 | 4 | Points/Gm | 18.7 | 24 |
| 17.0 | 3 | Points All./Gm | 20.6 | 16 |
| 63.8 | 15 | Plays/Gm | 61.4 | 22 |
| 59.1 | 4 | Opp. Plays/Gm | 62.7 | 13 |
| 5.9 | 3 | Off. Yards/Play | 4.5 | 30 |
| 5.5 | 25 | Def. Yards/Play | 5.9 | 31 |
| 41.57% | 18 | Rush% | 34.42% | 30 |
| 58.43% | 15 | Pass% | 65.58% | 3 |
| 40.17% | 10 | Opp. Rush % | 43.96% | 17 |
| 59.83% | 23 | Opp. Pass % | 56.04% | 16 |
- The Bengals had eight plays of 15 or more yards in Week 8 after just 14 total over their opening six games of the season.
- 35.9% of the Cincinnati set of downs have reached third down over their past three games, the lowest rate in the league.
- That rate was 57.1% of the set of downs in Weeks 1-4, 31st in the NFL.
- Cincinnati is allowing 6.6 yards per passing play, 28th in the league.
- 70.3% of the Buffalo scoring plays have been touchdowns, third in the league behind Miami and Detroit.
- Buffalo has a takeaway on a league-low 3.3% of opponent drives over the past three weeks after a league-high 24.1% rate in Weeks 1-5.
- The Bengals have a takeaway on a league-high 22.9% of opponent possessions over their past three games.
- A league-high 16.2% of the runs against Cincinnati have gained 10 or more yards.
- Buffalo is 31st in rate of explosive runs allowed at 15.0%.
Trust = spike production for that player
Quarterback
Josh Allen: Allen turned in another strong fantasy line in Week 8.
Closing the week as QB2 (29.1 points), he has now been a top-four scorer in four of the past five weeks.
I have been talking about how a change to more 11 personnel and taking Dawson Knox off the field could help Allen, and last week he matched a season-high with 31 completions, completed 77.5% of his passes (his second-highest rate in a game this season), and threw for a pair of touchdowns.
Allen has now thrown multiple touchdowns in five straight games and has a rushing touchdown in five of his past six games.
Allen is a front-end QB1 for fantasy.
He has only played the Bengals and Lou Anarumo once, and it was the only time that Allen has failed to throw a touchdown pass over his past 18 games played.
In that playoff game in the snow, Allen was 25-of-42 (59.5%) for 264 yards, rushing eight times for 26 yards and a touchdown.
The Bengals are giving up splash plays through the air.
They have allowed 7.8 yards per pass attempt (27th), but a 3.6% touchdown rate (14th) and 10 interceptions have them 11th in passing points allowed per pass attempt (0.367).
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