The Worksheet, a comprehensive fantasy football preview by Rich Hribar, breaks down everything you need to know about the Week 12 matchup between the Broncos and Browns.
Find a breakdown of every Week 12 NFL game in our Worksheet Hub.
| Cleveland | Rank | @ | Denver | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | Spread | -2.5 | ||
| 16.5 | Implied Total | 19.0 | ||
| 22.7 | 13 | Points/Gm | 21.7 | 15 |
| 18.0 | 6 | Points All./Gm | 26.8 | 30 |
| 72.1 | 1 | Plays/Gm | 57.6 | 31 |
| 53.9 | 1 | Opp. Plays/Gm | 63.4 | 17 |
| 4.5 | 30 | Off. Yards/Play | 5.2 | 13 |
| 4.5 | 2 | Def. Yards/Play | 6.3 | 32 |
| 47.57% | 4 | Rush% | 42.88% | 14 |
| 52.43% | 29 | Pass% | 57.12% | 19 |
| 44.90% | 23 | Opp. Rush % | 46.06% | 28 |
| 55.10% | 10 | Opp. Pass % | 53.94% | 5 |
- Five consecutive Denver games have gone under the game total, tied for the longest streak in the league.
- All four Cleveland road games have gone over the game total while their home games are 0-5-1 towards the under.
- Cleveland games are averaging a league-low 326.8 combined passing yards per game.
- The Browns have scored a touchdown on 11.6% (13-of-112) of their drives that have started in their territory, ahead of only the Giants (9.1%) and Jets (5.5%).
- Denver is averaging 25.5 yards per drive over their past five games (28th in the league) after averaging 33.4 per drive over their opening five games (ninth).
- 39.0% of the Denver drives fail to gain a first down or score prior, 30th in the league.
- 52.7% of the drives against Cleveland have gone three and out, the highest rate in the league.
- Denver has forced a punt on 21.9% of opponent drives, the lowest rate in the league.
Trust = spike production for that player
Quarterback
Russell Wilson: The transformation of Wilson into a controlled quarterback has been completed by Sean Payton.
He is either shooting layups or three-pointers.
Wilson has attempted a league-high 30.0% of his passes at or behind the line of scrimmage this season.
13.8% of his throws are 20 or more yards downfield, which is fifth in the league.
Putting those two things together, and you guessed it, he is last in the league in intermediate target rate (11.1%).
While that has been successful for the Denver team, Wilson has been a QB1 scorer in just one of his past five games, and that was a QB10 finish.
This will not be a spot to chase Wilson as more than QB2.
Cleveland is allowing a league-low 55.3% completion rate a 8.5 passing points per game to opposing passers.
On downfield passes of 20 or more yards, Cleveland has allowed just 6-of-28 (21.4%) to be completed, third in the league.
On throws 10 yards and in, they are allowing a 75.2 rating, second in the league.
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