The Worksheet, a fantasy football overview by Rich Hribar, breaking down everything you need to know for the Week 10 Cleveland Browns at Miami Dolphins Sunday afternoon game.
| Cleveland | Rank | @ | Miami | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Spread | -4 | ||
| 22.25 | Implied Total | 26.25 | ||
| 25 | 7 | Points/Gm | 23.7 | 10 |
| 24.9 | 24 | Points All./Gm | 24.9 | 25 |
| 67.3 | 4 | Plays/Gm | 60.1 | 24 |
| 59.3 | 3 | Opp. Plays/Gm | 62.6 | 14 |
| 5.7 | 10 | Off. Yards/Play | 6.3 | 2 |
| 5.6 | 19 | Def. Yards/Play | 5.8 | 24 |
| 49.44% | 7 | Rush% | 37.34% | 25 |
| 50.56% | 26 | Pass% | 62.66% | 8 |
| 44.94% | 26 | Opp. Rush % | 41.21% | 12 |
| 55.06% | 7 | Opp. Pass % | 58.79% | 21 |
- 42.7% of the yardage gained by Cleveland has come via rushing, sixth in the league.
- 22.8% of the yardage gained by Miami has come via rushing, 31st in the league.
- The Browns lead the league in EPA on runs by their running backs (17.6).
- Miami is averaging 12.9 yards per completed pass, the most in the league.
- The Dolphins are averaging 7.8 yards per passing play, the most in the league.
- Miami is allowing 2.20 points per drive, 26th in the league.
- Cleveland is allowing 2.21 points per drive, 27th in the league.
- Miami has allowed opponents to score on 22.7% of their drives playing at home this season (3rd lowest in the NFL) compared to allowing a 49.1% scoring rate on the road (31st).
Trust = spike production for that player
Quarterback
Tua Tagovailoa (TRUST): Tua stayed hot this past week, closing as the QB4 (24.1 points). That was his third consecutive QB1 scoring week since returning to the lineup.
Tagovailoa leads all quarterbacks in passing points per attempt (0.617) and yards per pass attempt (9.2 Y/A). If you want a good feel for how the marriage between Tagovailoa, Mike McDaniel, and these wide receivers have gone, Tagovailoa leads the NFL in EPA per dropback targeting wide receivers at 0.62. The next closest passer is Patrick Mahomes at 0.44 EPA/dropback targeting wideouts.
Tagovailoa will look to stay hot as a QB1 against a Cleveland defense that is 23rd in passing points allowed per attempt (0.436) and 25th in yards allowed per attempt (7.4 Y/A).
The Browns are also a base Cover-3 defense. They play Cover-3 on 38.3% of opponent passing plays, which is seventh in the league. Tagovailoa leads the NFL in rating against Cover-3 (111.4). Teams are playing Cover-3 on 33.9% of Tua's dropbacks, 11th highest in the league.