The Worksheet, a fantasy football overview by Rich Hribar, breaking down everything you need to know for the Week 16 Cleveland Browns at Green Bay Packers Christmas Day game.
| Cleveland | Rank | @ | Green Bay | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | Spread | -7.5 | ||
| 19 | Implied Total | 26.5 | ||
| 20.9 | 20 | Points/Gm | 25.6 | 14 |
| 21.8 | 12 | Points All./Gm | 21.6 | 10 |
| 61.1 | 29 | Plays/Gm | 62.4 | 18 |
| 62 | 13 | Opp. Plays/Gm | 61.4 | 9 |
| 5.6 | 17 | Off. Yards/Play | 5.8 | 8 |
| 5.2 | 4 | Def. Yards/Play | 5.3 | 10 |
| 46.67% | 6 | Rush% | 41.53% | 16 |
| 53.33% | 27 | Pass% | 58.47% | 17 |
| 41.94% | 17 | Opp. Rush % | 38.72% | 7 |
| 58.06% | 16 | Opp. Pass % | 61.28% | 26 |
- The Packers are 6-0 against the spread at home, the last team undefeated ATS at home this season.
- The Packers have led for 68.5% of the offensive snaps in the second half, the highest rate in the league.
- The Packers lead the league in time of possession per drive (3:15) while ranking fifth in yards per possession (35.6 yards).
- Green Bay has turned the ball over on a league-low 6.1% of their possessions. League average is 11.8%.
- Aaron Rodgers has the lowest expected completion rate (54.6%) on third down passes this season, but his +7.3% completion rate on those attempts is fourth in the league.
- Opponents have converted 71.1% (27-of-38) of their red zone possessions for touchdowns versus the Packers, the second-highest rate in the league.
Trust = spike production for that player
Quarterback
Aaron Rodgers (TRUST): Rodgers has been on fire and pushed himself back into the MVP conversation. Reeling off four straight weeks as a top-three scorer, Rodgers has thrown 13 touchdowns to zero interceptions, while averaging 8.9 yards per pass attempt in those games.
Cleveland has been middle of the pack against the pass, allowing a 65.2% completion rate (15th), 7.0 Y/A (12th), and 14.6 passing points per game (14th). Against the best of the best, the Browns have faced three other top-10 fantasy quarterbacks in Patrick Mahomes (33.3 points), Justin Herbert (42.8 points), and Kyler Murray (25.8 points).