The Worksheet, a comprehensive fantasy football preview by Rich Hribar, breaks down everything you need to know about the Week 14 matchup between the Falcons and Bucs.
Find a breakdown of every Week 14 NFL game in our Worksheet Hub.
| Tampa Bay | Rank | @ | Atlanta | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | Spread | -2.5 | ||
| 18.25 | Implied Total | 20.75 | ||
| 19.4 | 23 | Points/Gm | 18.8 | 24 |
| 20.4 | 10 | Points All./Gm | 20.0 | 7 |
| 61.1 | 23 | Plays/Gm | 65.8 | 7 |
| 64.4 | 23 | Opp. Plays/Gm | 62.8 | 11 |
| 5.0 | 22 | Off. Yards/Play | 5.0 | 24 |
| 5.5 | 26 | Def. Yards/Play | 5 | 10 |
| 40.25% | 24 | Rush% | 48.92% | 3 |
| 59.75% | 9 | Pass% | 51.08% | 30 |
| 39.07% | 6 | Opp. Rush % | 43.63% | 20 |
| 60.93% | 27 | Opp. Pass % | 56.37% | 13 |
- Atlanta has allowed opponents to convert 37.8% of their red zone possessions into touchdowns, second in the league.
- The Buccaneers have allowed opponents to convert 38.3% of their red zone possessions into touchdowns, third in the league.
- Atlanta has scored a touchdown on 52.4% (11-of-21) of their goal-to-go possessions, tied for the worst rate in the league.
- 52.7% of the Tampa Bay set of downs reach third down, 28th in the league.
- The Buccaneers are averaging 3.2 yards per first down running play, the fewest in the league.
- 20.6% of the Tampa Bay runs have resulted in a first down or touchdown, 28th in the league.
- 21.4% of the runs against Atlanta have resulted in a first down or touchdown, the second-lowest in the league.
- 80.9% (17-of-21) of the touchdowns allowed by Atlanta have come via passing, the highest rate in the league.
- The average length of touchdown for Atlanta is 10.7 yards, 29th in the league.
- The average length of touchdowns allowed by Atlanta has been 19.7 yards, 30th in the league.
Trust = spike production for that player
Quarterback
Baker Mayfield: Mayfield closed last week as QB19 (9.8 points), completing a season-low 48.3% of his passes in a rain-soaked game for 202 yards with a touchdown and an interception against the Panthers.
Mayfield has now been in the back half of weekly scoring in each of the past three weeks after a four-game stretch as a back-end QB1 scorer.
That includes when Mayfield was QB11 (16.2 points) when these teams played in Tampa Bay in Week 7.
Mayfield completed 27-of-42 (64.3%) passes for 275 yards with a touchdown and interception in that game, adding a season-high 32 yards rushing.
Those 42 pass attempts are tied for his second-most in a game this season.
Atlanta has been solid against the pass overall, allowing a 61.7% completion rate (seventh) and 6.7 yards per pass attempt (ninth). But they have allowed a 4.3% touchdown rate (24th) that has them 21st in passing points allowed per game (13.5).
Mayfield is a floor-based QB2 that can flirt with fringe-QB1 output.
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