The Worksheet, a comprehensive fantasy football preview by Rich Hribar, breaks down everything you need to know about the Week 7 matchup between the Cardinals and Seahawks.
Find a breakdown of every Week 7 NFL game in our Worksheet Hub.
| Arizona | Rank | @ | Seattle | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | Spread | -7.5 | ||
| 18.5 | Implied Total | 26.0 | ||
| 19.5 | 20 | Points/Gm | 24.8 | 8 |
| 27.0 | 27 | Points All./Gm | 21.6 | 18 |
| 65.7 | 22 | Plays/Gm | 64.0 | 24 |
| 62.3 | 22 | Opp. Plays/Gm | 67.3 | 29 |
| 5.4 | 12 | Off. Yards/Play | 5.4 | 11 |
| 5.7 | 28 | Def. Yards/Play | 4.9 | 9 |
| 43.75% | 12 | Rush% | 40.66% | 21 |
| 56.25% | 21 | Pass% | 59.34% | 12 |
| 44.92% | 22 | Opp. Rush % | 36.34% | 6 |
| 55.08% | 11 | Opp. Pass % | 63.66% | 27 |
- Seattle is 30th in the NFL in third down conversion rate (31.6%), but they are third in the NFL in rate of set of downs to reach third down (39.6%).
- The Seahawks have yet to score a touchdown from outside of the red zone after being tied for second in the NFL with 17 in 2022.
- 50.8% of the drives against Arizona have reached the red zone or scored prior, the second-highest rate in the league.
- 23.6% of the drives against Seattle have reached the red zone or scored prior, the fourth-lowest rate in the league.
- 36.9% of the passing plays against Arizona have resulted in a first down or touchdown, the second-highest rate in the league.
- 31.1% of the rushing plays against Arizona have resulted in a first down or touchdown, the highest rate in the league.
- Arizona is third in the NFL in explosive rushing yardage per game (78.5 yards).
Trust = spike production for that player
Quarterback
Geno Smith (TRUST): Geno has had just one scoring week higher QB17 on the season.
Even throwing for 323 yards and the rest of the league having a down week in Week 6, Smith was QB19 (10.9 points) because he did not throw a touchdown.
Smith has thrown multiple touchdown passes just once after doing so a league-leading 12 times a year ago.
This is a great spot to change course for Smith and this passing game.
Arizona is allowing a league-high 7.7 points over what opposing quarterbacks have averaged prior to playing them.
The Cardinals are allowing 8.0 yards per pass attempt (30th) with a 4.5% touchdown rate (25th), which has them allowing 15.3 passing points per game (27th).
Smith has been pressured on 40.9% of his dropbacks, which is 29th in the league. Arizona has the lowest pressure rate in the league at 27.0%.
When Smith has not been pressured, he is averaging 8.3 yards per pass attempt, eighth in the league.
While I do believe Smith is an option in 1QB leagues and the top streamer available in those formats if available, I do want to mention something I overlooked in this spot when recommending Matthew Stafford a week ago.
If Arizona does not punch back at all, we could have a similar runout in which Seattle just runs the ball at will.
We did not have a strong signal of that heading into last week with Los Angeles since they have not been a very good team themselves in terms of game scripts, but when Seattle has led at any point outside of the fourth quarter, they are 27th in the league in dropback rate (49.0%).
With so many byes, Smith gets elevated when we remove Joe Burrow, Dak Prescott, and C.J. Stroud from the field, but if Smith is not part of the point-building stage of Seattle taking a lead, his upside could be capped if the Cardinals continue to struggle offensively.
To continue reading this article
and gain access to The Worksheet and all of Rich's regular content, including positional rankings and chats, click below to purchase our season-long fantasy package or weekly starter stack.
Purchase
