The Worksheet, a comprehensive fantasy football preview by Rich Hribar, breaks down everything you need to know about the Week 16 matchup between the Chargers and Bills.
Find a breakdown of every Week 16 NFL game in our Worksheet Hub.
| Buffalo | Rank | @ | LA Chargers | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| -11.5 | Spread | 11.5 | ||
| 27.0 | Implied Total | 15.5 | ||
| 27.1 | 6 | Points/Gm | 21.6 | 17 |
| 18.1 | 4 | Points All./Gm | 24.6 | 28 |
| 65.6 | 8 | Plays/Gm | 64.1 | 15 |
| 60.6 | 5 | Opp. Plays/Gm | 66.8 | 30 |
| 5.7 | 5 | Off. Yards/Play | 5.2 | 16 |
| 5.2 | 13 | Def. Yards/Play | 5.6 | 27 |
| 44.55% | 7 | Rush% | 38.98% | 26 |
| 55.45% | 26 | Pass% | 61.02% | 7 |
| 39.81% | 9 | Opp. Rush % | 40.21% | 10 |
| 60.19% | 24 | Opp. Pass % | 59.79% | 23 |
- Just 12.0% of the Buffalo possessions have failed to gain a first down or touchdown, the lowest rate in the league.
- Buffalo has punted on just 24.6% of their drives on the road, the lowest rate in the league.
- The Bills have scored on 41.5% of their drives on the road, fourth in the league.
- The Chargers have scored on 20.0% of their drives over their past five games, ahead of only the Jets (17.5%) and Patriots (14.0%) over that span.
- The Chargers have scored a touchdown on 11.7% of their drives over that span, ahead of only the Jets (8.8%) and Panthers (7.3%).
- The Chargers have forced a turnover on just 2-of-69 opponent drives since Week 10, the lowest rate in the league.
- The Bills have a takeaway on 17.2% of opponent possessions on the road, the highest rate in the league.
- Buffalo has scored 10 touchdowns on drives that have started on the opponent's side of the field, tied with Miami for the most in the league.
- The Chargers have allowed 15 touchdowns from outside of the red zone, ahead of only Washington (20).
- 28.8% of the Charger runs have gained five or more yards, the lowest rate in the NFL.
- 34.3% of the Buffalo runs have resulted in a first down or touchdown, the highest rate in the league.
Trust = spike production for that player
Quarterback
Josh Allen (TRUST): Allen was not asked to do much on Sunday. He completed just 7-of-15 passes for 94 yards with a touchdown.
Buffalo had just a 29.2% dropback rate, their lowest rate in a game since Week 14 of the 2017 season. It was the lowest dropback rate for any team in a game this season.
He was able to add 24 yards and a rushing touchdown to do what he could but ended the week as QB16 (16.2 points) due to the run-heavy game script.
Allen has run through a gauntlet of front-end pass defenses of late, facing the Cowboys, Chiefs, Jets, and Broncos in four of his past five games.
This is a great spot for Allen to come up for air and have his way with a Charger defense that just allowed four passing touchdowns to Aidan O’Connell last Thursday.
The Chargers cleaned house after an embarrassing loss to the Raiders, but it is hard to see them slowing down this Buffalo offense.
The Chargers have allowed 7.7 yards per pass attempt (29th), 11.7 yards per completion (29th), a 4.5% touchdown rate (26th), and 16.9 passing points per game (30th) to passers.
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