The Worksheet, a fantasy football overview by Rich Hribar, breaking down everything you need to know for the Week 17 Kansas City Chiefs at Cincinnati Bengals Sunday afternoon game.
| Kansas City | Rank | @ | Cincinnati | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| -5.5 | Spread | 5.5 | ||
| 27.5 | Implied Total | 22 | ||
| 28.1 | 4 | Points/Gm | 27.3 | 7 |
| 20.4 | 5 | Points All./Gm | 21.6 | 13 |
| 66.8 | 5 | Plays/Gm | 62.1 | 20 |
| 62.9 | 14 | Opp. Plays/Gm | 63.4 | 17 |
| 5.9 | 6 | Off. Yards/Play | 5.9 | 7 |
| 5.8 | 27 | Def. Yards/Play | 5.4 | 19 |
| 37.82% | 25 | Rush% | 42.81% | 13 |
| 62.18% | 8 | Pass% | 57.19% | 20 |
| 39.45% | 11 | Opp. Rush % | 36.07% | 3 |
| 60.55% | 22 | Opp. Pass % | 63.93% | 30 |
- Cincinnati leads the league with 19 touchdowns scored from outside of the red zone while the Chiefs are tied for fifth (11).
- The Bengals have also scored a touchdown on 26.2% of their red zone plays, second in the league.
- The Chiefs are averaging a league-high 0.615 points per play over the past three weeks.
- The Bengals have the highest yards per pass attempt differential (+1.5 yards) over their opponent in the league.
- Joe Burrow leads the league in completion rate (71.8%) and yards per pass attempt (9.7 Y/A) on third downs.
- Patrick Mahomes leads the league in first down or touchdown rate (51.5%) on third downs.
- The Chiefs are averaging a first down or touchdown once every 2.9 plays, the best rate in the league.
- Over their past seven games, the Chiefs have turned the ball over on 7.4% of their drives (fourth-lowest) after turning the ball over on 27.4% prior (32nd).
- Defensively, the Chiefs have forced a turnover on 21.6% of opponent possessions over their past 10 games, the highest rate in the league.
Trust = spike production for that player
Quarterback
Patrick Mahomes: Mahomes has gotten back on track for fantasy, registering QB10 (20.3 points), QB2 (29.6 points), and QB5 (22.3) scoring weeks over his past three games. Mahomes has thrown for 8.6 yards per pass attempt or more in all three after failing to hit that mark in each of his previous eight games played. Even Tyreek Hill making a minimal impact in the box score and without Travis Kelce, Mahomes efficiently dissected the Steelers defense last week for three scores and a 76.7% completion rate.
Mahomes has pulled things in, averaging a 7.2-yard depth of target (27th) while relying on yards after the catch. 55.4% of the Kansas City yardage through the air now is after the catch, the highest rate in the league.
Mahomes will look to stay hot as a QB1 against a Cincinnati defense that is 18th in passing points allowed per game (15.2), 18th in yards allowed per pass attempt (7.2 Y/A), 21st in completion rate (66.4%) to opposing passers, but 11th in touchdown rate (3.9%).
