The Worksheet, a fantasy football overview by Rich Hribar, breaking down everything you need to know for the Week 15 Kansas City Chiefs at Los Angeles Chargers Thursday Night Football game.
| Kansas City | Rank | @ | LA Chargers | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| -4 | Spread | 4 | ||
| 27.8 | Implied Total | 23.8 | ||
| 27 | 8 | Points/Gm | 27 | 8 |
| 20.6 | 6 | Points All./Gm | 25.8 | 26 |
| 66.7 | 5 | Plays/Gm | 64.5 | 12 |
| 61.2 | 9 | Opp. Plays/Gm | 64.7 | 23 |
| 5.8 | 8 | Off. Yards/Play | 6 | 3 |
| 5.9 | 31 | Def. Yards/Play | 5.4 | 13 |
| 37.37% | 25 | Rush% | 36.59% | 28 |
| 62.63% | 8 | Pass% | 63.41% | 5 |
| 38.74% | 8 | Opp. Rush % | 46.61% | 28 |
| 61.26% | 25 | Opp. Pass % | 53.39% | 31 |
- The Chiefs (38.9 yards) and the Chargers (37.1 yards) are first and second in yards gained per possession.
- The Chiefs are averaging a first down or touchdown once every 2.9 plays (second in the league) while the Chargers are fourth (once every 3.1 plays).
- 52.5% of Patrick Mahomes's pass attempts on third down have resulted in a first down or a touchdown, the highest rate in the league.
- Justin Herbert is fourth in the league at 46.5%.
- The Chargers are last in the league in third down conversion rate allowed defensively (49.1%).
- Since their Week 7 bye, Justin Herbert has completed 21-of-38 (55.3%) passes 15 yards or further downfield with five touchdowns, first among all passers with 20 or more attempts in both categories.
- Patrick Mahomes has completed 11-of-32 (34.4%) of those passes over the same timeframe, 20th out of the 24 passers to have 20 or more attempts over that span.
- The Chiefs are +10 in turnover differential since Week 8 (tied for first) after ranking 31st prior (-10).
- Kansas City has not allowed a rushing touchdown in six straight games, the longest streak in the league and their longest streak as a franchise since 2014.
Trust = spike production for that player
Quarterback
Patrick Mahomes: Mahomes has now been a QB1 scorer in two of his past seven games, with each coming against the Raiders. The Chiefs faced two-high safeties just 28% and 24% against Las Vegas in those games, the only two times they have seen two-high safety looks on fewer than 40% of their snaps. When these teams met back in Week 3, the Chargers had two-high safety looks on 30 of Mahomes’s 50 dropbacks. Against those looks in that game, Mahomes was 12-of-26 passing 128 yards with one touchdown and two interceptions compared to completing 15-of-18 passes for 132 yards and two touchdowns against other looks.
At the end of the day, Mahomes did close that week as the QB7 and with 22.9 fantasy points. The Chargers have allowed 18.0 fantasy per game to opposing passers over their past six games with a QB1 scorer in five of those games, leaving Mahomes as a front-end QB1 option with upside in a potential shootout.