The Worksheet, a comprehensive fantasy football preview by Rich Hribar, breaks down everything you need to know about the Week 12 matchup between the Panthers and Chiefs.
Find a breakdown of every Week 12 NFL game in our Worksheet Hub.
| Kansas City | Rank | @ | Carolina | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| -11 | Spread | 11 | ||
| 26.75 | Implied Total | 15.75 | ||
| 24 | 11 | Points/Gm | 16.7 | 29 |
| 19.1 | 8 | Points All./Gm | 31 | 32 |
| 65.5 | 4 | Plays/Gm | 57.2 | 31 |
| 58.5 | 4 | Opp. Plays/Gm | 66.8 | 30 |
| 5.2 | 20 | Off. Yards/Play | 4.9 | 26 |
| 5.1 | 7 | Def. Yards/Play | 5.8 | 28 |
| 44.12% | 15 | Rush% | 41.78% | 22 |
| 55.88% | 18 | Pass% | 58.22% | 11 |
| 40.34% | 9 | Opp. Rush % | 52.25% | 32 |
| 59.66% | 24 | Opp. Pass % | 47.75% | 1 |
- The Chiefs have turned the ball over on 14.3% of their possessions (28th).
- The Chiefs have led for 35.3% of their offensive snaps, 16th in the league.
- Since their Week 6 bye, 52.5% of the Kansas City set of downs have reached third down (28th) after a 43% rate prior (9th).
- Over that span, the Chiefs have converted 59.5% (44-of-74) of those third downs, which is 1st in the league.
- Kansas City has converted 10.4% more third downs than their opponents, 2nd in the league.
- Carolina has converted 14.5% fewer third downs than their opponents, the worst differential in the league.
- 5.9% of the Kansas City rushing plays have gained 10 or more yards, the lowest rate in the league.
- Kansas City is one of two teams (the other being Dallas) that does not have a run of 20 or more yards by a running back.
- Only 4.2% of the running back runs against the Chiefs have gained 10 or more yards, 2nd in the NFL.
- 43.4% of the Carolina drives fail to gain a first down, the highest rate in the league. The league average is 32.0%.
- 30.4% of the passing plays against Carolina have gained 10 or more yards, the highest rate in the league.
Trust = spike production for that player
Quarterback
Patrick Mahomes (TRUST): Mahomes is coming off his lowest weekly finish of the season, ending last week as QB21 (15.8 points).
Mahomes threw three touchdown passes against Buffalo but was limited to only 196 yards passing with a pair of interceptions.
Throwing for 5.9 yards per pass attempt, Mahomes has not thrown for 7.0 Y/A in a game since Week 5.
He has only one week inside the top-10 scorers, but that did come in an identifiable spot against the Buccaneers.
This is another one of those matchups, paired with a week in which Mahomes is only contending with 25 other passers.
Carolina is dead last in the NFL with a 24.2% pressure rate.
When they have not pressured the opposing passer, the Panthers have allowed a 75.8% completion rate (29th), 8.2 Y/A (26th), and a 5.6% touchdown rate (31st).
Carolina allows 15.6 passing points per game (28th in the league).
Bryce Young: Young will remain the starter coming out of the bye, per Dave Canales.
Carolina has won the past two games with Young under center, their first winning streak since selecting Young a year ago.
While that is something to build on for their franchise, we are still not pushing Young as more than a lower-end QB2 for fantasy purposes.
Over his five starts this season, Young does not have a QB1 scoring week, averaging 9.4 points per game.
He has thrown 4 touchdowns and 6 interceptions, averaging 5.4 yards per pass attempt.
The Chiefs have allowed 18.1 fantasy points per game over their past five, which includes viable QB2 weeks to Garnder Minshew (15.0 points) and Bo Nix (16.1 points) if you are forced to throw Young out in 2QB formats.
Running Back
To continue reading this article
and gain access to The Worksheet as well as all of Rich's regular fantasy content and Warren Sharp's betting recommendations, click below to learn more about our NFL Plus package.
Learn MoreMore Week 12 Fantasy Breakdowns From The Worksheet:
| Matchup | Time |
|---|---|
| Steelers @ Browns -- FREE | Thursday Night Football |
| Vikings @ Bears | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Lions @ Colts | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Patriots @ Dolphins | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Bucs @ Giants | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Cowboys @ Commanders | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Chiefs @ Panthers | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Titans @ Texans | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Broncos @ Raiders | Sunday -- 4:05 p.m. ET |
| 49ers @ Packers | Sunday -- 4:25 p.m. ET |
| Cardinals @ Seahawks | Sunday -- 4:25 p.m. ET |
| Eagles @ Rams | Sunday Night Football |
| Ravens @ Chargers -- FREE | Monday Night Football |