The Worksheet, a comprehensive fantasy football preview by Rich Hribar, breaks down everything you need to know about the Week 15 matchup between the Broncos and Colts.
Find a breakdown of every Week 15 NFL game in our Worksheet Hub.
| Indianapolis | Rank | @ | Denver | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.5 | Spread | -3.5 | ||
| 21.5 | Implied Total | 24 | ||
| 20.5 | 22 | Points/Gm | 23.5 | 14 |
| 22.9 | 18 | Points All./Gm | 18 | 2 |
| 58.2 | 31 | Plays/Gm | 61.5 | 21 |
| 67.2 | 32 | Opp. Plays/Gm | 64.8 | 28 |
| 5.3 | 16 | Off. Yards/Play | 5.2 | 19 |
| 5.6 | 24 | Def. Yards/Play | 4.9 | 2 |
| 45.84% | 11 | Rush% | 42.93% | 16 |
| 54.16% | 22 | Pass% | 57.07% | 17 |
| 47.88% | 29 | Opp. Rush % | 38.55% | 6 |
| 52.12% | 4 | Opp. Pass % | 61.45% | 27 |
- Denver is a league-best 6-0 against the spread as a favorite.
- Denver is allowing 3.6 scoring plays per game (7th). Only 48.9% (23-of-47) have been touchdowns (3rd in the league).
- The Broncos are averaging 2.4 more sacks plus takeaways than their opponents, 2nd in the league behind Buffalo (+2.5).
- The Colts are averaging 67.9 fewer yards from scrimmage than their opponents, 30th in the league. Only Carolina (-91.3) and Jacksonville (-98.9) have been worse.
- The Colts have a 38.3% success rate on passing plays, 29th in the league.
- Denver has a 60.2% success rate in defending passing plays, which is 5th in the league.
- Since Week 8, the Colts have had a 32.5% success rate on rushing plays, the lowest rate in the league.
- Denver has a 66.5% success rate in defending rushing plays, the best in the league.
Trust = spike production for that player
Quarterback
Bo Nix: Nix exits the bye as the QB10 in fantasy points per game (17.5).
He is coming off one of his worst fantasy games of the season in Week 13 against Cleveland (12.2 points).
We entered that matchup highlighting Nix's best performance as a streamer and floor-based QB2 against opponents who struggle to pressure the quarterback.
Against Cleveland, Nix was 5-of-12 (41.7%) with two interceptions when pressured.
Over his rookie season, Nix has completed 44% of his passes (27th) for 5.3 yards per pass attempt (28th), a 2.8% touchdown rate (28th) and a 3.7% interception rate (23rd) when pressured.
When kept clean, Nix has completed 70.5% of his passes for 7.0 Y/A, a 4.3% touchdown rate, and a 1.2% interception rate.
This is another matchup where pressure should not be a major concern, which puts Nix back on the board as a high-end QB2 who can flirt with being a back-end QB1.
The Colts are 26th in the pressure rate (30.3%).
Without pressure, they have allowed a 76.9% completion rate (30th), 7.8 Y/A (21st) , and a 4% touchdown rate (14th).
Anthony Richardson: Since being put back into the lineup, Richardson has given us games such as QB5 (28.1 points), QB20 (13 points), and QB9 (21.2 points).
If you followed us in this space, his two spike weeks were identifiable when playing for the upside outcome.
This matchup does not offer a lot of the signals we chased those weeks, leaving Richardson as a volatile QB2.
Denver is 7th in passing points allowed per attempt (0.363), while Richardson is 33rd among quarterbacks in that department (0.328).
The Broncos are 2nd in the league in pressure rate (39%) and 2nd in blitz rate (36%).
Richardson has completed a league-low 37.5% of his passes when pressured.
He has completed a league-low 41.1% of his passes when blitzed.
Only Daniel Jones (5.1 Y/A) and Deshaun Watson (3.7 Y/A) have lower yards per attempt than Richardson’s 5.6 Y/A versus the blitz.
Richardson’s best out for fantasy comes via his legs in this matchup.
He has a 9.4% scramble rate when blitzed, which is 2nd in the league.
Running Back
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More Week 15 Fantasy Breakdowns From The Worksheet:
| Matchup | Time |
|---|---|
| Rams @ 49ers -- FREE | Thursday Night Football |
| Chiefs @ Browns | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Bengals @ Titans | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Commanders @ Saints | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Ravens @ Giants | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Cowboys @ Panthers | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Jets @ Jaguars | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Dolphins @ Texans | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Colts @ Broncos | Sunday -- 4:25 p.m. ET |
| Bills @ Lions | Sunday -- 4:25 p.m. ET |
| Steelers @ Eagles | Sunday -- 4:25 p.m. ET |
| Patriots @ Cardinals | Sunday -- 4:25 p.m. ET |
| Bucs @ Chargers | Sunday -- 4:25 p.m. ET |
| Packers @ Seahawks | Sunday Night Football |
| Bears @ Vikings -- FREE | Monday Night Football |
| Falcons @ Raiders -- FREE | Monday Night Football |
