The Worksheet, a comprehensive fantasy football preview by Rich Hribar, breaks down everything you need to know about the Week 16 matchup between the Falcons and Colts.
Find a breakdown of every Week 16 NFL game in our Worksheet Hub.
| Indianapolis | Rank | @ | Atlanta | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| -2.0 | Spread | 2.0 | ||
| 23.0 | Implied Total | 21.0 | ||
| 24.6 | 8 | Points/Gm | 18.4 | 26 |
| 24.5 | 27 | Points All./Gm | 19.9 | 8 |
| 65.1 | 10 | Plays/Gm | 64.9 | 12 |
| 67.4 | 31 | Opp. Plays/Gm | 63.1 | 11 |
| 5.2 | 15 | Off. Yards/Play | 5.0 | 22 |
| 5.2 | 14 | Def. Yards/Play | 4.9 | 7 |
| 42.59% | 16 | Rush% | 48.73% | 3 |
| 57.41% | 17 | Pass% | 51.27% | 30 |
| 46.13% | 27 | Opp. Rush % | 45.48% | 26 |
| 53.87% | 6 | Opp. Pass % | 54.52% | 7 |
- The Colts have had four straight games go over the game total and a league-high 10 games go over the total this season.
- Indianapolis is 5-0 against the point spread as a favorite, the only remaining team perfect against the spread as a favorite.
- The Colts have a league-high six wins when the opponent scores first.
- Indianapolis has scored first in just four games this season, tied for last in the league with the Jets.
- The Colts have turned the ball over on just 6.6% of their possessions over their past seven games, second in the NFL.
- The Colts are averaging 5.0 sacks plus takeaways per game, third in the league.
- The Falcons have allowed a touchdown on 9.1% of opponent drives over their past five games, the lowest rate in the league.
- 79.2% (19-of-24) of the touchdowns allowed by Atlanta have been via passing, the highest rate in the league.
- 55.6% (20-of-36) of the touchdowns allowed by Indianapolis have been via rushing, the highest rate in the league.
Trust = spike production for that player
Quarterback
Gardner Minshew: Minshew delivered a spike week on Saturday, ending Week 15 as QB6 (20.6 points).
Minshew threw a season-high three touchdown passes in a game in which the Colts lost Michael Pittman in the first half.
Minshew has been a solid QB2, averaging 15.6 fantasy points per game over his past eight starts. He has been in the front half of weekly scoring in five of those games with three QB1 scoring weeks.
The Falcons have not faced a tough schedule this season, but they have not allowed streamers and 2QB options to get over on them, either.
Atlanta has allowed 6.6 yards per pass attempt (eighth) and a 61.5% completion rate (seventh) to passers. They have not allowed a touchdown pass in four of their past six games.
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