The Worksheet, a fantasy football overview by Rich Hribar, breaking down everything you need to know for the Week 6 Washington Commanders at Chicago Bears Thursday Night Football game.
Washington | Rank | @ | Chicago | Rank |
---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Spread | -1 | ||
18.5 | Implied Total | 19.5 | ||
18 | 26 | Points/Gm | 17.2 | 27 |
25.6 | 25 | Points All./Gm | 21.2 | 15 |
69 | 5 | Plays/Gm | 53.2 | 32 |
62 | 13 | Opp. Plays/Gm | 65 | 23 |
5 | 25 | Off. Yards/Play | 5.2 | 22 |
5.6 | 18 | Def. Yards/Play | 5.6 | 19 |
33.33% | 30 | Rush% | 60.15% | 1 |
66.67% | 3 | Pass% | 39.85% | 32 |
42.90% | 18 | Opp. Rush % | 53.54% | 32 |
57.10% | 15 | Opp. Pass % | 46.46% | 1 |
- Washington has led for 14.2% of their offensive snaps, 29th in the league.
- Chicago has led for 9.4% of their snaps, 31st in the league.
- Washington is averaging 8.5 yards to go on their third down plays this season, the most in the league.
- The Bears have allowed opponents to convert 50.7% of their third downs, 31st in the league.
- Washington has allowed opponents to convert just 30.4% of third downs, third in the league.
- Washington is last in the league in success rate per rushing attempt (30.4%).
- 17.8% of the rushing attempts against Washington have resulted in a first down or touchdown, the lowest rate in the league.
- The Bears are averaging 11.9 yards per completed pass (fourth in the league), but have just 49 completions, the fewest in the league (22 behind the next closest team).
- The 49 completions for the Bears are the fewest through a team's opening five games of a season since 1987.
Quarterback
Carson Wentz: As bad as his start, in reality, has been with Washington, Wentz has registered three top-six scoring weeks to open the season, trailing only Jalen Hurts (four) and Josh Allen (five) while tied with Patrick Mahomes. Wentz is fourth in the league in passing yards, already logging three 300-yard games.
Unfortunately for Wentz, those spike weeks orbit scoring weeks as the QB29 and QB27. We have not lived with any middle ground.
Wentz’s three spike weeks also came in matchups we have been chasing with just about everyone. Each came against not only soft pass defenses in general, but also teams that failed to generate significant pressure those weeks.
Under pressure, Wentz has completed 45.6% of his passes for 4.4 yards per pass attempt as opposed to a 69.3% completion rate and 7.4 Y/A when kept clean.
The Bears are 26th in the league in pressure rate (29.2%) and 25th in sacks (eight).
The game environment here is not as enticing as potential back-and-forth matchups (or point-chasing ones) like Jacksonville, Detroit, and Tennessee, however.
Chicago also isn’t a complete disaster, allowing 0.34 passing points per attempt (10th) and 9.8 passing points per game (fourth), but they also have had Trey Lance, Daniel Jones, and Davis Mills square off against them in three games outside of allowing 17.4 passing points to Aaron Rodgers and 13.8 passing points to Kirk Cousins.
We also may be closing in on Wentz increasing his potential to actually be pulled in-game at this point, leaving him as an all-or-nothing QB2 and single-game DFS option.