The Worksheet, a fantasy football overview by Rich Hribar, breaking down everything you need to know for the Week 3 Dallas Cowboys at Seattle Seahawks Sunday afternoon game.
| Dallas | Rank | @ | Seattle | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.5 | Spread | -4.5 | ||
| 25.5 | Implied Total | 30 | ||
| 28.5 | 8 | Points/Gm | 36.5 | 2 |
| 29.5 | 25 | Points All./Gm | 27.5 | 22 |
| 75 | 3 | Plays/Gm | 59 | 29 |
| 72 | 30 | Opp. Plays/Gm | 73.5 | 32 |
| 38.7% | 24 | Rush% | 42.4% | 15 |
| 61.3% | 9 | Pass% | 57.6% | 18 |
| 51.4% | 28 | Opp. Rush % | 31.3% | 2 |
| 48.6% | 5 | Opp. Pass % | 68.7% | 31 |
- Since hiring Pete Carroll in 2010, the Seahawks have a league-best 16-1 record (13-4 ATS) at home in the month of September.
- Dallas leads the league in seconds per play (21.2) outside of the fourth quarter while Seattle ranks 32nd (32.4).
- Russell Wilson has thrown a league-high four touchdown passes of 20-plus yards through two weeks. No other player has more than two.
- Dallas has allowed 10 completions of 20-plus yards, tied for the most in the league with Atlanta and Miami.
- Wilson is averaging 12.1 yards per pass attempt targeting his wide receivers (first) while Dak Prescott averages 9.6 yards per attempt (ninth) targeting wideouts.
- 73.0% of non-QB fantasy points scored against Seattle have been scored by opposing wide receivers, the highest rate in the league through two weeks. League average is 48.9% outside of Seattle.
- 85.7% of the yardage allowed by Seattle has come via passing, the highest rate through two weeks.
- Prescott is averaging 7.0 more yards per pass attempt using play-action (13.4 Y/A) as opposed to not (6.4 Y/A), the largest discrepancy in the league through two weeks.
Trust = spike production for that player
Bust = down-week production for that player’s standards
Quarterback
Russell Wilson (TRUST): We now have multiple weeks of Russ cooking, giving us all the hope that this is going to actually happen. Wilson is averaging a league-high .927 passing points per attempt through two weeks. League average is .430. He has nine touchdown passes and is averaging 9.7 yards per pass attempt. Dallas has opened the season 24th in yards per pass attempt (8.2 Y/A) and 25th in yards per completion (12.5 yards) allowed to opposing passers to open the season.
Dak Prescott (TRUST): Prescott bounced back with a career-high 39.8 fantasy points in Week 2. He got there with the added weight of three rushing touchdowns, but was more than efficient passing, completing 34-of-47 passes for 450 yards (9.6 Y/A). Seattle has allowed 450 and 397 passing yards over the first two weeks to Matt Ryan and Cam Newton. Those passers threw for 268 and 312 yards in the second halves of those games to inflate their totals, but Prescott does not need to hit 400 yards to be a ceiling play for us here.
Running Back
Ezekiel Elliott: Elliott has started the season with 25 touches for 127 yards and a touchdown and 28 touches for 122 yards and a touchdown as a top-10 scorer each week. Seattle has allowed just 2.88 YPC to opposing backs through two games, but have not been particularly challenged by Atlanta and New England. Keep plugging in Elliott as a set-and-forget RB1 in Week 3.
Chris Carson: After a fairly even snap split in Week 1 where he played 45% of the team snaps, Carson came back to play 40 snaps (64%) in Week 2, handling 20-of-30 backfield touches for 108 yards and a touchdown. After catching three touchdowns on 79 targets over his first three seasons in the league, Carson already has three touchdown receptions on nine targets to open the season.
Those cannot be counted on as regular occurrences, but with Russ cooking to this degree, who knows. Dallas has allowed 159 yards on 39 touches to Rams backs in Week 1 while allowing 109 yards on 33 touches to the Atlanta backfield in Week 2. In the highest-game total on Sunday, keep Carson in play as an RB1 option.
Wide Receiver
D.K. Metcalf (TRUST): Picking up where he left off a year ago, Metcalf had games of 4-95-1 and 4-92-1 to kick off the 2020 season. Dating back to last season, Metcalf has now reached the end zone in five of his past seven games with 97.4 receiving yards per game over his past five games on the field. Seattle has even gotten Metcalf in the slot for 23% of his routes so far. Dallas has opened the season ranking 23rd in yards per target (9.3) and 25th in points per target (2.1) to opposing wideouts and now their best coverage corner in Chidobe Awuzie is sidelined for multiple weeks with a hamstring injury.
Tyler Lockett (TRUST): Continuing this mind-meld with Wilson, Lockett and Wilson have connected on 15-of-16 targets through two weeks for 159 yards and a touchdown. Lockett has had games of 4-120-0 and a 4-77-1 in his past two matchups with Dallas.
Amari Cooper (TRUST): Cooper had games of 10-81-0 (14 targets) and 6-100-0 (nine targets) to start the season with eight more targets than the next highest wide receiver on the team. Seattle already has six different wide receivers to score double-digit PPR points in two games with four top-12 scoring receivers.
CeeDee Lamb (TRUST): Lamb has 11-165-0 on 15 targets to start the season and is coming off his first 100-yard game in Week 2. Lamb has run a pass route on 84.5% of the Dallas dropbacks while running 91% of his routes from the slot. So far through two games, Seattle has allowed games of 12-179-0 and 15-232-0 to opposing wideouts from the slot.
Michael Gallup: Gallup has run a route on 91.7% of the Dallas dropbacks, but has been targeted on just 9.1% of his routes. He was targeted on 21.9% of his routes a year ago. Gallup has not had the opportunities to objectively justify trusting him, but he is out there for a high number of dropbacks and the matchup is alluring as laid out above. I would be willing to give Gallup one more week as a boom-or-bust WR3 given the matchup and scoring potential before fully benching him.
Tight End
Dalton Schultz: In his first game as a starter, Schultz reeled in 9-of-10 targets for 88 yards and a touchdown. Rolling that over here may be tricky as Seattle has allowed 5-57-0 on eight targets to opposing tight ends through two games and ranking ninth in points per target to the position. Any passing option is in play here, but Schultz should still be viewed as an upside TE2 for the short term.
More Week 3 Fantasy breakdowns from The Worksheet:
MIA at JAX| CHI at ATL | SF at NYG | CIN at PHI | LVR at NE | TEN at MIN | WFT at CLE | HOU at PIT | LAR at BUF | NYJ at IND | CAR at LAC | DET at ARI | TB at DEN | DAL at SEA | GB at NO | KC at BAL
