The Worksheet, a comprehensive fantasy football preview by Rich Hribar, breaks down everything you need to know about the Week 11 matchup between the Broncos and Falcons.
Find a breakdown of every Week 11 NFL game in our Worksheet Hub.
| Atlanta | Rank | @ | Denver | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | Spread | -1.5 | ||
| 21.25 | Implied Total | 22.75 | ||
| 23.8 | 13 | Points/Gm | 19.7 | 22 |
| 23.6 | 20 | Points All./Gm | 17.7 | 4 |
| 62.4 | 14 | Plays/Gm | 61.3 | 20 |
| 64.3 | 25 | Opp. Plays/Gm | 62.9 | 20 |
| 6 | 7 | Off. Yards/Play | 5.0 | 24 |
| 5.5 | 20 | Def. Yards/Play | 4.7 | 1 |
| 43.11% | 19 | Rush% | 43.88% | 17 |
| 56.89% | 14 | Pass% | 56.12% | 16 |
| 45.10% | 17 | Opp. Rush % | 42.13% | 11 |
| 54.90% | 16 | Opp. Pass % | 57.87% | 22 |
- Denver has a +18 sack differential versus their opponent, tied for the best in the NFL.
- Atlanta has a -11 sack differential, 29th in the league.
- The Falcons average 2.59 points per drive on possessions without a sack (9th) compared to 0.80 points per drive with a sack taken (20th).
- The Broncos average 0.38 points per drive with a sack taken, 29th in the league.
- The Falcons average 2.63 points per drive on the road (4th).
- Denver has allowed a touchdown on 50% (8-of-16) goal-to-go possessions, the lowest rate in the league.
- The Falcons have led for 27.6% of their offensive snaps, 20th in the league and the lowest rate of any team with a winning record.
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Trust = spike production for that player
Quarterback
Kirk Cousins: Cousins threw for 306 yards and 8.1 yards per pass attempt on Sunday against New Orleans, but he failed to throw a touchdown pass for the second time this season (which also came against New Orleans).
Cousins ended the week as QB17 (10.2 points).
He has finished as a QB1 scorer three times this year, with two coming against the Buccaneers.
Cousins is a floor-based QB2 here.
Denver bounced back from a beat down in Baltimore to slow down Patrick Mahomes for 6.3 yards per pass attempt and one touchdown.
Denver is 11th in passing points allowed per attempt (0.363), and they have been actively rushing the passer.
The Broncos are fifth in the league in pressure rate (37.1%) and are blitzing a league-high 41.9% of the time.
Cousins is 18th in the league in rating under pressure (73.0), throwing 5 touchdowns and 7 interceptions.
He is 21st against the blitz (89.5), throwing for 7.1 yards per pass attempt (18th) with 3 touchdowns and 1 interception.
From a clean pocket, Cousins has thrown 12 touchdown passes to 1 interception.
Bo Nix: Nix continues to play well and deliver viable fantasy lines.
He closed last week as QB12 (16.1 points), completing 73.3% of his passes with 2 touchdowns against a good Kansas City defense.
Nix has finished QB17 or higher in six straight games with four QB1 scoring weeks over that stretch.
He has only finished higher than QB8 once this season, but Nix is a high-floor QB2 with back-end QB1 appeal.
Atlanta has allowed a QB1 scorer in three of their past four games, a run that includes Geno Smith (17.8 points) and Derek Carr (20.5 points) last week.
The Falcons are 30th in the NFL in pressure rate (26.5%).
When they have not gotten pressure, they have allowed a 75.8% completion rate (30th) and a 4.2% touchdown rate (19th).
Nix has not run around as much lately (he has single-digit rushing yards in four of his past seven games), but we know he is capable of using his legs. He has produced 25 or more yards on the ground in six games.
That is relevant because Atlanta has allowed 30.4 rushing yards per game to quarterbacks, which is 30th in the league.
Running Back
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More Week 11 Fantasy Breakdowns From The Worksheet:
| Matchup | Time |
|---|---|
| Commanders @ Eagles | Thursday Night Football |
| Packers @ Bears | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Jaguars @ Lions | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Vikings @ Titans | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Raiders @ Dolphins | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Rams @ Patriots | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Browns @ Saints | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Colts @ Jets | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Ravens @ Steelers | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Falcons @ Broncos | Sunday -- 4:05 p.m. ET |
| Seahawks @ 49ers | Sunday -- 4:05 p.m. ET |
| Chiefs @ Bills | Sunday -- 4:25 p.m. ET |
| Bengals @ Chargers | Sunday Night Football |
| Texans @ Cowboys | Monday Night Football |
