The Bears used the No. 10 pick to select Colston Loveland as the first draft pick in the Ben Johnson era.
Let's examine Loveland's 2025 fantasy football outlook and Dynasty value.
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Colston Loveland 2025 Fantasy Football Outlook
Loveland caught more passes in all three of his seasons at Michigan, ending the 2024 season with 56 receptions for 582 yards and 5 touchdowns over 10 games before a shoulder injury ended his season.
The counting stats for Loveland are not as sexy as they were for Tyler Warren, since he was in an anemic passing offense, but Loveland anchored the Michigan passing game.
He led all tight ends in this class with a target on 37.6% of his routes, posting 2.67 yards per route run, third in this class behind Warren and Harold Fannin Jr.
Loveland was used everywhere, playing 47.6% of his snaps in the slot, 32.5% inline, and 18.6% out wide.
He posted 2.01 yards per route from the slot, one of only three tight ends to post 2.0 yards per route inside.
Loveland is also on the younger side of things, turning 21 this April.
This looks like an interesting fit on the surface with Chicago having Cole Kmet on the roster, but Johnson’s offense uses multiple tight ends on the field at a high rate.
Over the last two years, in the first half of games on early downs per Warren Sharp, the Lions used 41% of plays with two or more tight ends on the field.
That increased to 47% last year.
That is far from what the Bears did with their tight ends a year ago.
Chicago tight ends were an afterthought in the offense last season.
The Bears targeted tight ends 13.1% of the time, which was 30th in the league.
Cole Kmet only had 55 targets last season after receiving 90 targets the year before.
Kmet ended the season averaging 2.8 catches for 27.9 yards per game, his worst numbers since his rookie season.
He averaged only 16.8 yards per game over the final 11 weeks of the season.
Kmet is only 26, but Loveland should relegate Kmet as a package player early.
Loveland is just a better pass-catching prospect.
The tight end position has received an injection of much-needed youth in recent seasons.
We have had a rookie tight end close the season as a TE1 scorer in three of the past four seasons, with Sam LaPorta (with Ben Johnson) and Brock Bowers leading overall PPR points the past two seasons.
Can Loveland get there as a rookie?
I have reservations that he can walk right into a massive target share playing alongside D.J. Moore and Rome Odunze, and there are concerns about the up-and-down production from Caleb Williams.
Still, there is plenty of upside here for Johnson to have him contribute right away as an upside pick when the front-end tight ends are off the draft board.
In Dynasty formats, Loveland immediately contends with TE1 market value.
Caleb Williams 2025 Fantasy Football Outlook
This is another young pass catcher for Caleb Williams.
Selecting Williams with the No. 1 overall pick last season, paired with an aggressive offseason, gave the Bears heightened expectations of being a team that jumped into contention.
The brakes were tapped as Williams and this offense never came together.
In his first NFL season, Williams completed 62.5% of his passes (31st) for 6.3 yards per pass attempt (33rd).
The only passers with fewer yards per attempt who qualified for the league’s passer rating last season were Bryce Young, Daniel Jones, and Cooper Rush.
15.3% of his throws were inaccurate, ahead of only Mac Jones and Anthony Richardson.
Downfield passing was a hangup in his rookie season.
Williams only completed 27.5% of his passes on throws 20 or more yards downfield (31st) and 35.8% of his passes of his attempts 10 or more yards downfield (34th) despite being above the league average in rate of those attempts.
He was 15th in attempts over 10 or more yards (33.3%) and seventh in rate of throws 20 or more yards downfield (14.2%).
Williams ended the year 30th in EPA per dropback (-0.05).
As a rookie, he lost -108.5 EPA to sacks, the second worst total for any quarterback in a season in the 2000s.
The offensive did not do Williams any favors, but he was sacked on 31.6% of his pressures.
That was the second-highest rate in the league, ahead of only Will Levis.
The league average was 20.7%.
Williams was credited with 18.7% of his pressures being self-induced, while he took a league-high 17 sacks that were credited as his fault.
Williams and Chicago are overhauling this offense in an attempt to clean up those issues from his rookie season.
The Bears fired their head coach and offensive coordinator during Williams’s rookie season.
This year, they made the most significant splash during the hiring cycle, pulling Ben Johnson away from the Lions.
I don’t believe we will see Johnson attempt to make Williams Jared Goff.
Rather, he will calibrate his offense around what Williams does best.
While Williams has consistently had issues with pressure and taking negative plays going back to college, the team still improved their interior offensive line this offseason, supporting that part of Williams’ game.
Williams remains an upside option on the QB1/QB2 line and a better target in 2QB formats as insurance that his rookie-season issues are not as clean of a fix as hiring a new play caller.
TL;DR Fantasy Impact Notes
- Mid-first Dynasty Rookie Pick and upside 2025 pick when the front-end TE1 picks are gone.