The Worksheet, a fantasy football overview by Rich Hribar, breaking down everything you need to know for the Week 4 Jacksonville Jaguars at Cincinnati Bengals Thursday Night Football game.
| Jacksonville | Rank | @ | Cincinnati | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | Spread | -7.5 | ||
| 19 | Implied Total | 26.5 | ||
| 17.7 | 27 | Points/Gm | 22.7 | 17 |
| 30.3 | 28 | Points All./Gm | 18 | 6 |
| 61.3 | 22 | Plays/Gm | 55 | 30 |
| 68.7 | 27 | Opp. Plays/Gm | 71 | 29 |
| 5.1 | 24 | Off. Yards/Play | 5.3 | 19 |
| 6.1 | 25 | Def. Yards/Play | 4.5 | 4 |
| 33.15% | 30 | Rush% | 48.48% | 4 |
| 66.85% | 3 | Pass% | 51.52% | 29 |
| 49.03% | 29 | Opp. Rush % | 33.33% | 5 |
| 50.97% | 4 | Opp. Pass % | 66.67% | 28 |
- The Jaguars have trailed by double-digits for 52.2% of their offensive snaps, 31st in the league.
- The Jaguars have the lowest rate of catchable passes (65.5%) in the league.
- The Bengals are allowing a league-low 3.5 yards per first down play.
- 29.3% of Joe Burrow's pass attempts have come on first down (31st in the league) after that mark was 38.6% as a rookie, fifth.
- On first down pass attempts, Burrow is averaging 10.8 yards per pass attempt (third in the league) compared to 7.0 Y/A on other downs (21st) with five of his seven touchdown passes. That -3.8 Y/A is the largest gap for any passer on first down to other downs in the league.
- Burrow is tied with Russell Wilson for the league-lead with 1.57 points per pass attempt over 15 yards downfield.
Trust = spike production for that player
Bust = down-week production for that player’s standards
Quarterback
Joe Burrow: Burrow has kicked off the season with QB17, QB25, and QB15 scoring weeks. While the scores have not pushed top-shelf performances, there are a number of positives to take away from Burrow’s start. He has thrown multiple touchdown passes in each game and has thrown for 9.7 yards and 9.6 yards per pass attempt in Week 1 and Week 3. The Bengals have toned down their aggressiveness throwing the football as Burrow has 30 or fewer pass attempts in all three games after he threw 30 or more times in all of his starts as a rookie.
Needing to pass for efficiency versus the Jaguars should not be a high hurdle if volume is low once again due to game script. Jacksonville is allowing 0.51 passing points per attempt (22nd), a 74.3% completion rate (30th), 9.3 yards per pass attempt (30th), and 12.5 yards per completion (26th). Burrow is one of the top streamers on the board and in the best spot to turn in his first QB1 scoring week.