The Worksheet, a comprehensive fantasy football preview by Rich Hribar, breaks down everything you need to know about the Week 16 matchup between the Raiders and Jaguars.
Find a breakdown of every Week 16 NFL game in our Worksheet Hub.
| Jacksonville | Rank | @ | Las Vegas | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spread | -1 | ||
| 19.25 | Implied Total | 20.25 | ||
| 18.8 | 26 | Points/Gm | 17.5 | 29 |
| 26.9 | 28 | Points All./Gm | 26.9 | 27 |
| 57.6 | 32 | Plays/Gm | 62.6 | 14 |
| 65.5 | 30 | Opp. Plays/Gm | 61.9 | 17 |
| 5.3 | 16 | Off. Yards/Play | 4.8 | 29 |
| 6.1 | 32 | Def. Yards/Play | 5.3 | 12 |
| 40.45% | 25 | Rush% | 34.59% | 32 |
| 59.55% | 8 | Pass% | 65.41% | 1 |
| 45.80% | 20 | Opp. Rush % | 44.41% | 17 |
| 54.20% | 13 | Opp. Pass % | 55.59% | 16 |
- Jacksonville's -108.6 EPA defensively is the worst in the league. The team in 2nd (the Panthers) has -87.4 EPA on defense.
- The Jaguars are 0-5 when scoring first this season, the worst record in the league.
- The Jaguars have not had a run of 20 or more yards since Week 5.
- The Jaguars average 1.31 points per drive on the road, 30th in the league.
- Las Vegas has converted 47.2% (17-of-36) of their red zone possessions into touchdowns, 29th in the league.
- Jacksonville has a takeaway on a league-low 4.8% of their opponent's possessions.
- The Raiders have a takeaway on 5.8%, 29th in the league.
Trust = spike production for that player
Quarterback
Mac Jones: After closing last week as QB9 (18.7 points), Jones has finished as a QB1 scorer in two of the past three weeks.
He has thrown 7 interceptions in his five appearances, but the team's dropback rate with him in the game is 65.1%.
He is Jacksonville Jameis if you squint.
This is an ugly game special.
You are not using Jones as more than a volatile QB2, but if you have to throw a matchup-based dart in those formats, this is a soft landing spot.
The Raiders are 26th in pressure rate (30.4%) and lost Maxx Crosby for the season.
They are 26th in passing points allowed per game (15.7).
Aidan O’Connell: Per Antonio Pierce, O’Connell is expected to practice and be ready to play this weekend, but we will follow his status throughout the week.
As is the case with Jones, O’Connell is a matchup-based QB2.
Jacksonville is 31st in pressure rate (28.1%), allowing a league-high 18.2 passing points per game.
Running Back
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Learn MoreMore Week 16 Fantasy Breakdowns From The Worksheet:
| Matchup | Time |
|---|---|
| Broncos @ Chargers -- FREE | Thursday Night Football |
| Texans @ Chiefs -- FREE | Saturday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Steelers @ Ravens -- FREE | Saturday -- 4:30 p.m. ET |
| Giants @ Falcons | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Lions @ Bears | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Browns @ Bengals | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Titans @ Colts | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Rams @ Jets | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Eagles @ Commanders | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Cardinals @ Panthers | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Vikings @ Seahawks | Sunday -- 4:05 p.m. ET |
| Patriots @ Bills | Sunday -- 4:25 p.m. ET |
| Jaguars @ Raiders | Sunday -- 4:25 p.m. ET |
| 49ers @ Dolphins | Sunday -- 4:25 p.m. ET |
| Bucs @ Cowboys | Sunday Night Football |
| Saints @ Packers -- FREE | Monday Night Football |