The Worksheet, a fantasy football overview by Rich Hribar, breaking down everything you need to know for the Week 7 New York Jets at Denver Broncos Sunday afternoon game.
| NY Jets | Rank | @ | Denver | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Spread | -3 | ||
| 19.75 | Implied Total | 22.75 | ||
| 23.8 | 10 | Points/Gm | 15.2 | 32 |
| 21.3 | 17 | Points All./Gm | 16.5 | 4 |
| 66.3 | 9 | Plays/Gm | 62.2 | 20 |
| 62.5 | 12 | Opp. Plays/Gm | 65 | 22 |
| 5.2 | 20 | Off. Yards/Play | 5.3 | 18 |
| 5 | 7 | Def. Yards/Play | 4.5 | 2 |
| 38.19% | 20 | Rush% | 41.56% | 14 |
| 61.81% | 13 | Pass% | 58.44% | 19 |
| 43.47% | 20 | Opp. Rush % | 36.92% | 6 |
| 56.53% | 13 | Opp. Pass % | 63.08% | 27 |
- The Broncos have scored a touchdown on 10.1% (7-of-69) of their drives this season, the lowest rate in the league.
- The Broncos have allowed a touchdown on 8.7% (6-of-69) of opponent drives, the lowest rate in the league.
- Denver has converted 30.2% of their third downs, ahead of only the Texans (29.2%) and Panthers (23.6%).
- The Jets are allowing 313.2 yards per game (ninth) after allowing 397.6 per game in 2021 (32nd).
- The Jets have scored 30 points over their implied team totals this season, the most in the league.
- After being below pass rate expectation in one of the opening three weeks, the Jets have been 10%, 5%, and 6% below pass rate expectation since Zach Wilson returned.
Quarterback
Zach Wilson: Wilson is sitting 33rd in the league in passing points per attempt (.305) and 34th in passing points per game (7.6) since returning to the lineup. With the Jets in favorable game scripts, they have not asked Wilson to do much unless needed.
48.0% of Wilson’s pass attempts have come on non-first downs needing seven or more yards to gain, the highest rate in the league.
Wilson has pressured on 34.1% of his dropbacks, which has been an issue as he is the most sensitive quarterback to pressure in the league right now. Under pressure, Wilson is now 4-of-23 (17.4%) for 49 yards (2.1 Y/A) with two interceptions. When kept clean, Wilson is 38-of-52 (73.1%) for 523 yards (10.1 Y/A) with a touchdown and zero interceptions.
Denver has not been a defense to challenge for fantasy, let alone with a QB2 like Wilson. The Broncos are allowing a league-low 0.24 passing points per attempt and have yet to allow a QB1 scoring week on the season.
