The Worksheet, a fantasy football overview by Rich Hribar, breaking down everything you need to know for the Week 15 New York Jets at Miami Dolphins Sunday afternoon game.
| NY Jets | Rank | @ | Miami | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.5 | Spread | -8.5 | ||
| 17 | Implied Total | 25.5 | ||
| 17.4 | 29 | Points/Gm | 19.5 | 25 |
| 30.5 | 32 | Points All./Gm | 22.2 | 13 |
| 62.8 | 15 | Plays/Gm | 64.8 | 10 |
| 65.6 | 26 | Opp. Plays/Gm | 66 | 27 |
| 5.1 | 23 | Off. Yards/Play | 4.8 | 31 |
| 6 | 32 | Def. Yards/Play | 5.4 | 16 |
| 33.90% | 31 | Rush% | 36.89% | 26 |
| 66.10% | 2 | Pass% | 63.11% | 7 |
| 46.66% | 29 | Opp. Rush % | 36.25% | 4 |
| 53.34% | 4 | Opp. Pass % | 63.75% | 29 |
- The Dolphins (-22) and the Jets (-23) are 31st and 32nd in differential of 20-yard plays versus their opponent.
- Opponents are averaging 5.6 scoring plays per game against the Jets, the most in the league.
- The Jets are averaging 2.9 fewer yards per pass attempt than their opponent over their past five games, the worst differential in the league. The next closest team (Houston) is at 1.6 fewer yards.
- Zach Wilson has been sacked on 16.7% of his third down dropbacks, the highest rate in the league.
- The Jets have trailed for 88.6% of their offensive plays in the second half, the highest rate in the league.
Trust = spike production for that player
Quarterback
Tua Tagovailoa: Tagovailoa has been a reliable starter in these spots for us all season, positing 17 or more fantasy points in each of his past four games against teams in the back half of the league in passing points per game. That includes the Jets, who are 27th (16.4 passing points allowed) in Week 11 when Tagovailoa had 17.5 fantasy points.
Tagovailoa is using play-action on a league-high 42.5% of his dropbacks as Miami has swerved into the RPO game as the foundation of doing everything. Tagovailoa is third in the league in RPO pass attempts (54) and is sixth in points above expectation on those attempts.
The question for Tagovailoa as a streamer in 1QB formats is how much upside do we have here, especially now with Jaylen Waddle out. There is a high floor as a streamer and fringe QB1 if that's all you are looking for. But if looking to make a deep swing for upside on a roster that is looking for that in playoffs, you may need to gamble down the line on someone like Justin Fields that carries more risk.