The Worksheet, a fantasy football overview by Rich Hribar, breaking down everything you need to know for the Week 16 Detroit Lions at Atlanta Falcons Sunday afternoon game.
| Detroit | Rank | @ | Atlanta | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Spread | -4 | ||
| 20.3 | Implied Total | 24.3 | ||
| 17.4 | 28 | Points/Gm | 18.4 | 26 |
| 26.1 | 26 | Points All./Gm | 27.4 | 31 |
| 62.1 | 21 | Plays/Gm | 61.6 | 23 |
| 65 | 23 | Opp. Plays/Gm | 64.6 | 21 |
| 5 | 25 | Off. Yards/Play | 5.1 | 21 |
| 5.9 | 29 | Def. Yards/Play | 5.7 | 25 |
| 39.77% | 20 | Rush% | 39.51% | 21 |
| 60.23% | 13 | Pass% | 60.49% | 12 |
| 47.47% | 31 | Opp. Rush % | 43.81% | 22 |
| 52.53% | 2 | Opp. Pass % | 56.19% | 11 |
- Atlanta is 0-5 against the spread at home this season (0-2 as a favorite), the only team without a win against the spread at home this season.
- The Falcons have been outscored 214-104 in the second half this season. Only the Texans (-128 points) have a worse second half point differential.
- Atlanta ranks 27th in points allowed per drive (2.41 points) while Detroit ranks 31st (2.47 points).
- The Falcons are 30th in red zone touchdown rate allowed (69.8%) paired with ranking 28th in the league in red zone possessions allowed per game (3.8).
- Atlanta is 31st in expected points added via their rushing offense (-39.6 points).
- The Falcons have scored just two offensive touchdowns from outside of the red zone, the fewest in the league.
Quarterback
Matt Ryan: Ryan completed 59.4% (19-of-32) of his passes Sunday, his second-lowest rate in a game this season. Ryan has had more than 13.4 fantasy points now in one of his past eight games, throwing one or fewer touchdown passes in seven of those games.
If there was ever another game this season in which Ryan could be useful in 2QB formats, this would be as good as it gets. Detroit is 27th in passing points allowed per attempt (0.49), 31st in yards allowed per pass attempt (8.0 Y/A), and 25th in touchdown rate allowed (5.1%) to passers.