The Worksheet, a comprehensive fantasy football preview by Rich Hribar, breaks down everything you need to know about the Week 7 matchup between the Lions and Ravens.
Find a breakdown of every Week 7 NFL game in our Worksheet Hub.
| Detroit | Rank | @ | Baltimore | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.0 | Spread | -3.0 | ||
| 19.5 | Implied Total | 22.5 | ||
| 28.0 | 4 | Points/Gm | 22.2 | 15 |
| 18.8 | 9 | Points All./Gm | 15.2 | 4 |
| 67.3 | 9 | Plays/Gm | 64.0 | 14 |
| 57.3 | 10 | Opp. Plays/Gm | 58.7 | 20 |
| 5.8 | 4 | Off. Yards/Play | 5.2 | 15 |
| 4.7 | 5 | Def. Yards/Play | 4 | 2 |
| 46.75% | 4 | Rush% | 51.79% | 2 |
| 53.25% | 29 | Pass% | 48.21% | 31 |
| 32.51% | 2 | Opp. Rush % | 37.79% | 8 |
| 67.49% | 31 | Opp. Pass % | 62.21% | 25 |
- The Ravens (+1.2 yards) and the Lions (+1.1 yards) are third and fourth in the NFL in average yards per play over what they are allowing defensively.
- The Ravens have led for 61.7% of their offensive snaps, third in the league.
- Detroit has led for 60.0% of their offensive snaps, fourth in the league.
- The Ravens are allowing 4.0 yards per passing play, the fewest in the league.
- The Lions are averaging 7.3 yards per passing play, third in the NFL.
- 74.1% of the Detroit scoring plays have been touchdowns, second in the NFL.
- 23.8% of the scoring plays allowed by Baltimore have been touchdowns, the lowest rate in the league.
- The Lions have reached the red zone or scored prior on 42.7% of their drives, third in the NFL.
- The Ravens have allowed a touchdown on a league-low 7.1% of opponent possessions.
- The Lions are second in the NFL in plays of 20 or more yards (32) behind the Dolphins (38).
- Detroit is second in the NFL in touchdowns scored from outside of the red zone (eight).
- Detroit is one of three teams left that have not allowed a touchdown from outside of the red zone.
- Baltimore is one of four teams remaining without an offensive touchdown from outside of the red zone.
Trust = spike production for that player
Quarterback
Lamar Jackson: Jackson was not perfect Sunday as we finally had some red zone regression for the Ravens. But with another 62 rushing yards and the bulk of the Week 6 slate failing, he was still able to close the week out as QB8 (17.1 points).
Jackson has thrown one or fewer touchdown passes in four of his six games this season, but he leads the quarterback position with 9.5 rushing points per game.
He is completing a career-high 69.9% of his passes as this new passing scheme has him focused on shorter throws, but Jackson’s 2.9% touchdown rate sits well below his 5.8% career rate.
With 2.0 passing touchdowns below expectations so far, I do expect some positive regression at some point to come around.
It has been interesting to watch this transformation of the Detroit defense.
Aaron Glenn was forced to manufacture pressure last year. Detroit was seventh in the league in blitz rate (33.5%) because they were 17th in the league in pressure rate (29.8%) on non-blitzes.
This season, the Lions are getting pressure 36.9% of the time without blitzing (eighth in the league) and, as a byproduct, are only blitzing 17.8% of the time, which is 30th in the league.
Getting pressure will be key here as Jackson has been on the most influenced passes under pressure this season.
When kept clean, Jackson is completing 78.6% of his passes, second in the NFL.
When under pressure, he has completed 46.8%, which is 20th. That gap is the largest completion rate differential in the league when pressured versus kept clean.
Jackson has a QB1 week under his belt against the Browns, so we are locking him in wherever we have him.
As good as Detroit has been, they have had a solid run of facing Desmond Ridder, Jordan Love, Bryce Young, and Baker Mayfield in the past four weeks. Mayfield left a lot of meat on the bone last weekend.
When Detroit was last pressed by a viable passer in Geno Smith in Week 2, he was the QB7 (23.1 points).
This will be their toughest test since the opener and arguably of the season since Patrick Mahomes did not have Travis Kelce that week.
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