In Monday night’s Showdown, the Los Angeles Rams visit the San Francisco 49ers. For a breakdown of this game, check out Rich Hribar’s Fantasy Football Worksheet.
The Rams are only 3.5-point favorites, but I expect them to be heavily rostered by the field in 4–2 builds. Cooper Kupp has been the league's best WR so far, while Matthew Stafford and Darrell Henderson Jr. have been great fantasy producers as well. Much like last night's game, the underdogs will provide the easiest path to differentiation.
Strategy
Onslaughts, aka 5–1 builds, expected to be used only 2% featuring 49ers and 6% with the Rams heavy version, so this is a good spot to go over the field on either or both. I wouldn’t use many even 3–3 builds because they are likely to be used over 42%.
The most owned CPTs are likely Kupp (18%), Stafford (14%), and Deebo Samuel (13%). I like both Eli Mitchell and Henderson Jr. as the fourth and fifth most popular options, hoping for a multi-TD performance. Jimmy Garoppolo is very low-owned tonight for a starting QB.
DK Values
- JaMycal Hasty ($200)
- Eli Mitchell ($6400)
DK Leverage
- Sony Michel ($5000)
- Kyle Juszczyk ($2000)
DK Build Ideas
- Max 1 DST, Max 1 K
- Max 2 depth WR/TE/RB
- Negative boost same team RBs
- If CPT QB, include one depth option in stack
- If CPT RB, negative boost opposing DST/K
- If CPT WR/TE boost team QB and force at least 1 QB (either team)
- Cumulative ownership under 250%
- Leave salary unspent
FD Values
- Brandon Aiyuk ($7500)
- Van Jefferson ($8000)
FD Leverage
- Sony Michel ($7000)
- Mohamed Sanu ($7000)
FD Build Ideas
- No K or TE at MVP
- Focus on 3-2 build construction
- No solo CPT in 1-4 construction
- Negative boost opposing QBs (Lineups with both only win 30%)
- If WR CPT, boost QB
- QB is overused but RB and WR are underutilized at MVP
- Don’t stack 3 pass catchers from the same team
- Don’t force the max salary
For more optimizer build rules to consider, check out the list for each DK and FD here.