Week 10’s Showdown for Monday night features the Vikings visiting the Bears. My thoughts for Showdown are below, but be sure to check out Rich Hribar’s Fantasy Football Worksheet for a full breakdown of Minnesota at Chicago.
The QB of the favored team is often one of the most popular plays. I’m hoping that is the case tonight so I can be very underweight on Kirk Cousins for leverage. Not only is he a low-volume passer, but he has a tough matchup and ugly history against Chicago, having only exceeded 10 fantasy points against them once in three attempts, averaging 11.4.
Dalvin Cook is an obvious top play, though he is extremely expensive and the matchup is one he has struggled in historically. Outside of him, the offense funnels targets to Adam Thielen and Justin Jefferson, who each have huge upside. I don’t see many paths for both of them going off in this game so I’ll try to avoid using them together. Irv Smith Jr. has been ruled out so Kyle Rudolph could be relevant, priced just below the kickers. The passing game has a better outlook in builds where Cook fails.
I am interested in building a lot of Nick Foles stacks tonight. Allen Robinson is the top option for the Bears, and one of my favorite overall plays. Darnell Mooney, Jimmy Graham, and Anthony Miller is how I’d rank the rest of the main pass-catchers. Graham has seen a career resurgence and is one of the team's main red zone threats, but is priced up. I want to see roster projections for this receiving core before I form my strategy, but CPT Foles should be stacked with 2+.
Due to David Montgomery being ruled out, Cordarrelle Patterson is projecting well as he is expected to get some rushing work. Ryan Nall is the other main backfield option, who did not get a carry last week but caught all four targets and scored. To further muddy the waters, Artavis Pierce and Lamar Miller could each be involved. The Chicago rushing attack has been terrible, so I want no more than one of these guys per lineup.
(UPDATE) Ownership:
- Cook is projected for 20-24% ownership at CPT and 71-78% overall. I will be somewhat underweight on both and making sure to differentiate as much as possible and cook line ups. Using Mattison in those lineups is one method, and he also makes a good pivot for non-Cook builds.
- Cousins is projected over 9% CPT and 41-56% overall. He is easily my favorite fade candidate. I greatly prefer everyone else in this range with a preference for Robinson and Jefferson.
- Nall It’s only projected for 4-12% total ownership wow Patterson is projected for 29-34%. Seems like a nice leverage spot for a very uncertain situation.
DK Values:
- Alexander Mattison ($2,000)
- Vikings DST ($3,000)
DK Leverage:
- Ryan Nall ($6,200)
- Jimmy Graham ($7,200)
DK Build Guide:
- Max 1 DST
- Max 1 K
- Max 1 TE per team
- Max 1 Bears RB
- If CPT RB, negative boost opposing DST/K
- If CPT Foles, use 2+ pass-catchers
- If CPT WR/TE, boost/stack QB
- Leave salary on the table, especially with chalky CPTs
FD Values:
- Cordarrelle Patterson ($8,000)
- Anthony Miller ($7,000)
FD Leverage:
- Ryan Nall ($10,000)
FD Build Guide:
- No K MVP
- No TE at MVP
- Focus on 3-2 build construction
- No solo CPT in 1-4 construction
- Max 1 QB (wins nearly 3x as often)
- If WR CPT, boost or force QB
- Leave salary on the table, especially with chalky MVPs