Though the Vikings clearly are moving forward with J.J. McCarthy, Aaron Rodgers continues to hold out hope for a Vikings contract to complete his Brett Favre story, leaving Russell Wilson in a holding pattern of his own as teams wait on a decision from Rodgers.
While those two quarterback dominos have yet to fall and several big-name running backs such as J.K. Dobbins and Nick Chubb remain available on the market, the majority of the biggest fantasy names have landed in their 2025 homes.
More than most years, the NFL Draft could shake up running back depth charts throughout the league, but let’s look at the biggest moves of the free agency period and how those moves will affect fantasy drafts this summer.
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Fantasy Football Analysis: Quarterback Free Agency, 2025
As said in the intro, where Aaron Rodgers and Russell Wilson ultimately end up will affect the fantasy playmakers on those teams as well as whichever organization loses the game of musical quarterbacks, but there was plenty of movement to analyze without Rodgers and Wilson.
Geno Smith
The first quarterback shoe to drop was Geno Smith landing with the Raiders via a trade.
I already wrote about Smith’s impact on the Raiders, but the TL;DR version is pretty simple.
While Smith likely will not be an impactful fantasy player on his own, he should immediately improve the target quality for Brock Bowers, Jakobi Meyers, and whichever receiver lands with the Raiders in the draft.
Smith was extremely accurate over his four seasons with the Seahawks, finishing first among all qualified quarterbacks in off-target throw rate and fourth in completion rate.
The Raiders finished 26th in off-target throw rate in 2024.
Bowers was 29th of 36 qualifying tight ends in inaccurate target rate and Meyers was 63rd of 103 qualified receivers in the same metric.
Sam Darnold
The early rumors following the Smith trade were that Sam Darnold would replace him in Seattle, and that is what ended up happening.
The way Darnold ended last season lives large in our collective memory, but he performed like a top quarterback for much of the year.
He was sixth among qualified quarterbacks in yards per attempt, 16th in EPA per play, and eighth in off-target rate.
Darnold was especially good using play action in Minnesota, finishing fifth among qualified quarterbacks in yards per attempt and second in touchdown rate.
While new Seahawks OC Klint Kubiak does not come from the same coaching tree as Vikings coach Kevin O'Connell, he comes from a similar system that should fully utilize play action and work into Darnold's strengths in that area.
Kubiak also worked with Darnold when the pair were with the 49ers in 2023.
Moving forward, the Seahawks have to improve the situation around Darnold if they want him to succeed.
Both DK Metcalf and Tyler Lockett are gone.
Jaxon Smith–Njigba took a step forward in his second season, and Seattle added Cooper Kupp late in free agency.
Both of those guys play similar roles, though, and the Seahawks likely need a better field stretcher than Marquez Valdes–Scantling.
More importantly, they have to get better on the offensive line.
Seattle finished 21st in ESPN's pass block win rate last season and 30th in pressure rate allowed.
Even in the best season of his career, Darnold was 20th among qualified quarterbacks in yards per attempt under pressure last season, 30th in EPA per play, and 13th in off-target rate.
In fact, 29% of his incompletions were because he was being pressured.
That was the fifth highest rate in the league.
We don’t have big expectations about Darnold being a high-end fantasy quarterback in an offense likely to be more conservative than most, but the fantasy efficacy of Smith-Njigba and Kupp might depend on the Seahawks effectively protecting the quarterback.
Justin Fields
Reports heading into free agency suggested Justin Fields would land back with the Steelers, but the Jets swooped in with a two-year, $40 million contract to sign the quarterback.
Fields started the first six games for the Steelers last season, throwing for 1,106 yards (184 per game), 5 touchdowns, and 1 interception while rushing for 231 yards and another 5 touchdowns.
The Steelers seemingly tried to hide Fields over those six games, finishing 25th in neutral dropback rate over that span before slightly increasing once Russell Wilson took over.
Whether Pittsburgh did not want Fields back after spending big to bring in DK Metcalf or Fields did not feel comfortable returning to a team that benched him when the team was 4-2, the end result is Fields will be a Jet in 2025.
New Jets OC Tanner Engstrand has spent the last couple of years working under Ben Johnson in Detroit, but he was already on staff when Johnson became offensive coordinator in 2022.
He also spent time with Jim Harbaugh at two different stops in the college coaching ranks, though both were short.
So, it is tough to know what to expect from the first-year NFL playcaller.
With a defensive-minded head coach and Fields at quarterback, it is fair to expect more of a run-heavy approach for New York this season.
For fantasy purposes, that means Fields could look similar to what we saw last season with the Steelers.
While he did get 5 rushing touchdowns and should provide a nice rushing floor whenever he starts, Fields will need decent passing production to really hit his fantasy ceiling, and we just did not see a lot of that last year.
On the other hand, Fields will reunite with college teammate Garrett Wilson, who is now the clear No. 1 receiver for the Jets.
Fantasy Football Analysis: Running Back Free Agency, 2025
The running back market this year paled in comparison to the 2024 group, and that showed in the deals given out.
The upcoming draft class also had something to do with that, though, with the incoming rookies looking like the best group we have seen in years.
The quality of that class means that nearly every situation in the NFL remains a work in progress, and even players who appear to be in a good fantasy spot right now could find themselves on the wrong side of a committee with a rookie by the time Week 1 rolls around.
Aaron Jones & Jordan Mason
The only free agent running back that really got paid, Aaron Jones is returning to the Vikings on a two-year deal.
Minnesota was not done, though, setting up a trade with the 49ers for Jordan Mason, who filled in admirably for Christian McCaffrey last season.
Jones had a successful first season with the Vikings, rushing for 1,138 yards and 5 touchdowns while adding a 51-408-2 line through the air.
While he still averaged a respectable 5.1 yards per touch, he ranked 20th among qualified running backs in runs of five or more yards and 36th in runs of 10 or more yards.
Those explosive run numbers look very similar to where Jones was during his last season with the Packers.
That is not surprising given where Jones is in his career, but it does mean he will need to rely more on volume to score fantasy points moving forward – Jones handled 67.1% (RB11) of the Minnesota running back attempts in 2024.
While Cam Akers did get some work down the stretch last season, adding Mason suggests the Vikings plan to get Jones more rest this year, a problem if those explosive run numbers continue.
At 223 pounds, Mason also profiles as a good option in short yardage and could steal some goal line work away from Jones.
Jones had 24 of the 31 running back touches in goal-to-go situations last season.
On the other hand, the Vikings were seventh in neutral pass rate and 5% over their expected pass rate last season.
With J.J. McCarthy slated to start, the Vikings could be setting up the roster to rely more on the run in 2025.
The good news is Jones is unlikely to cost much in fantasy drafts – currently the RB26 in early best ball drafts – but his upside is in serious question given the Mason addition.
Najee Harris
Najee Harris is the poster child for the wait and see approach at running back.
As it stands, he is in a great fantasy spot.
The Chargers were 1% under their expected pass rate last season and were 12th in running back rushing attempts.
J.K. Dobbins was the clear lead back when healthy, handling 62.1% of the running back carries, and the current depth chart does not offer much competition unless Kimani Vidal takes a big step forward in year two.
Harris is also coming off a pretty good year by his standards.
2024 was Harris' best season for explosive runs — 11.4%, 21st among qualified running backs — and he did a better job avoiding negative plays than Dobbins did a season ago.
If this is what the depth chart looks like heading into the season, Harris will be a good bet to stack touches and fantasy opportunities.
As mentioned in the intro, though, this draft class has the talent to change the situation, and the Chargers are reportedly looking for an “explosive player” to add to the running back room in the draft.
Harris’ fantasy projection will take a big hit if the Chargers spend Day 1 or Day 2 draft capital on the position.
Jaylen Warren
Harris’ departure to the Chargers seemingly opens up the runway for Jaylen Warren to take over as the lead back for the Steelers, who kept Warren with a restricted free agent tender.
Pittsburgh did also add Kenneth Gainwell on a small deal, but the depth chart currently looks good for Warren.
I say currently because that rookie threat does loom, but there are some other concerns for Warren.
Warren has consistently outperformed Harris on a per-carry basis over the last couple of years and still had a top-20 explosive run rate among qualified backs last season despite some lackluster blocking in front of him — 37th in yards before contact created.
That was almost always in a secondary role, however, and we have seen backs lose their efficiency when tasked with carrying a full workload and running more in expected run situations.
Warren did more of that than a usual complementary back and has the frame of a lead runner – 215 pounds – but we still have to see him make that transition.
All of that said, this is unquestionably a good outcome for Warren’s fantasy value and for the hordes of fantasy managers just waiting for a Warren breakout season.
Javonte Williams & Miles Sanders
Coming out of the free agency period, it would be a shock if the Cowboys did not spend early draft capital – perhaps even the No. 12 pick – on a running back.
Dallas did make some additions, signing Javonte Williams to a one-year, $3 million contract before bringing in Miles Sanders on a one-year deal.
Sanders could not make his mark after signing a big contract with the Panthers, and Williams simply has not been the same since a knee injury derailed his career.
Among 54 qualified running backs in the last two seasons, Williams ranks 50th in yards per touch, 49th in yards per carry, 38th in explosive run rate, 42nd in negative run rate, and 51st in yards after contact per carry.
Despite leading the backfield in touches, Williams was clearly the worst runner in Denver last season.
He averaged 3.7 yards per carry with an explosive run on 9.4% of his carries.
The rest of the backs combined averaged 4.3 yards per carry with an explosive run on 10.9% of their carries.
The Cowboys simply cannot go into the season with these two atop the depth chart, and it would be shocking if they did.
Raheem Mostert
After scoring 18 touchdowns in 2023, Raheem Mostert came back to earth last season, rushing 85 times for 278 yards and 2 touchdowns in 13 games.
Among 51 qualifying backs, Mostert ranked 49th in yards per carry, 45th in the rate of carries to gain 5 or more yards, dead last in negative run rate, and 39th in yards after contact per carry.
All of those numbers were dramatic downturns from where Mostert was in 2023 and really where he had been whenever given an opportunity to that point in his career.
Heading into his age-33 season, it is possible Mostert just does not have it anymore, but the Raiders took a low-cost, one-year flier on the veteran to see if 2024 was the start of the decline or a one-year blip.
Las Vegas did get some promising play from Sincere McCormick at the end of last season, but their running back depth chart is as wide open as any in the league.
Of course, as has been mentioned time and again, that could quickly change in the draft, but this is not a bad landing spot for Mostert if he still has the juice.
As an aside, Mostert has been a much better zone runner in his career (5.2 yards per carry), and that should fit well with new Raiders OC Chip Kelly.
Rico Dowdle
Hindsight is 20-20, but given the matching one-year, $3 million contract Rico Dowdle got from the Panthers, the Cowboys would have been much better off re-signing Dowdle than bringing in Williams.
That would have also been better for Dowdle’s fantasy value, with the back now stuck behind Chuba Hubbard in Carolina.
While the Panthers likely want to get Hubbard more rest than he saw last season when he handled 72.9% of the running back carries, Dowdle’s contract suggests he is not a serious threat to the top of the depth chart.
Although we kind of already knew it, the Dowdle signing is another sign we are unlikely to see Jonathon Brooks in 2025.
Elijah Mitchell & Kareem Hunt
Isiah Pacheco struggled in his return from injury last season, which makes the Chiefs bringing back Kareem Hunt – who played ahead of Pacheco in the playoffs – and signing Elijah Mitchell interesting.
Pacheco is not the first player to struggle after returning from a broken ankle/fibula, and he may be much closer to the old version of himself in 2025.
Hunt was no better than a replacement-level player last season, but the Chiefs clearly trusted him as the lead guy.
Mitchell is the most interesting name in this group.
Mitchell sat out all of last season and has struggled to stay on the field to this point in his career, but he was productive when given opportunities in San Francisco.
For his career, Mitchell has averaged 4.7 yards per carry (would have ranked 12th among qualified backs last season), 3.47 yards after contact per rush (7th), and an explosive run on 13.5% of his carries (8th).
If he is given a chance, Mitchell could make some fantasy noise.
Fantasy Football Analysis: Wide Receiver Free Agency, 2025
Two of the biggest receiver moves were trades with Deebo Samuel going to the Commanders and DK Metcalf joining the Steelers.
We already wrote about both of those deals along with Cooper Kupp joining the Seahawks and the sneaky Christian Kirk trade to the Texans:
- DK Metcalf Traded to Steelers
- Deebo Samuel Traded to Commanders
- Cooper Kupp Signs With Seahawks
- Christian Kirk Traded to Texans
The two other big moves were re-signings.
Tee Higgins was initially franchise tagged by the Bengals for the second year in a row, but he has now signed a long-term extension.
Chris Godwin avoided the tag himself but still re-signed with the Bucs on a big contract.
There is not much to say about that pair – other than some sad face emojis for Jalen McMillan – since we know both will command a large target share in offenses that have already featured them.
While no other moves matched the level of the ones mentioned above, there were still some interesting signings.
Davante Adams
Despite crashing out with the Jets last season, Davante Adams did not have to wait long on the open market, signing a two-year, $46 million contract with the Rams.
Adams will presumably be the replacement for Cooper Kupp, who left for the Seahawks.
That will position Adams as the No. 2 option in the passing game behind Puka Nacua, who cemented himself as one of the top receivers in the game with another stellar performance as a sophomore.
Adams, on the other hand, has shown signs of decline over the last two seasons.
Despite maintaining a high target rate per route, Adams' efficiency on a per-route basis has slipped, though he still ranked 25th among qualified receivers in yards per route run a season ago.
Likely looking at a No. 2 role, the fantasy questions for Adams will revolve around overall target volume and his involvement near the end zone.
On 243 pass plays with both Nacua and Kupp on the field last season, Nacua dominated with a 40.7% target share and 3.57 yards per route run.
Because the passing game has been so concentrated, though, Kupp still was targeted on a respectable 24.2% of his routes.
Kupp also saw one more target than Nacua in goal-to-go situations during those snaps and two more throws into the end zone.
Overall, Kupp scored 3 touchdowns to 2 for Nacua on those plays.
Despite playing just 11 games for the Jets last season, Adams led the team in both targets in the end zone and targets in goal-to-go situations.
Especially with Demarcus Robinson gone, we should see Adams have a bankable role in the scoring area.
While it is unlikely Adams is an alpha target hog like he has been in the past barring an injury to Nacua, there should be opportunities for him to deliver value assuming the Rams keep their target tree concentrated and continue to have success through the air.
With Kupp gone, we could see Adams play more in the slot than he traditionally has thus far in his career, but he already toyed with that idea in New York.
In his 11 games with the Jets, Adams played 51% of his snaps from the slot, and he was the WR18 in yards per route run from the slot over that span.
Josh Palmer
It was something of a surprise to see Josh Palmer land a three-year, $30 million contract from the Bills, but that is just how much starting receivers make these days.
And that is what we should expect Palmer to be in Buffalo.
That said, it is concerning that Palmer never forced the issue during his four years with the Chargers, only falling into a big role when injuries at the top of the depth chart forced him into the limelight.
Playing with Ladd McConkey last season, Palmer finished 53rd among qualifying receivers in yards per route run (1.5) and 66th in target rate per route (16.7%).
He has averaged 9.5 and 9.0 yards per target over the last two seasons, which are solid numbers, but it is something of a red flag he has not consistently earned targets thus far in his career.
We also could continue to see a rotation in the Buffalo receiver room.
Outside of Khalil Shakir, no Buffalo receiver had a consistent role last season, although the departures of Amari Cooper and Mack Hollins could end up tightening the rotation.
It is important to not go overboard with Palmer in fantasy drafts, but ultimately it looks like he will be running routes in a Josh Allen-led offense, and that is not a bad spot to be.
Darius Slayton
As mentioned with Palmer above, there could be some sticker shock on the three-year, $36 million extension Darius Slayton signed with the Giants, but again that is just what receivers make these days.
To reinforce that point, Slayton is currently the WR30 in average annual value while Palmer is 35th.
As for Slayton, he has quietly been a steady presence in the Giants receiver room, averaging 650 yards and 4 touchdowns over his six seasons.
He understandably took a step back with Malik Nabers establishing himself as the No. 1 last year, but Slayton still commanded 71 targets and was New York's primary threat down the field.
That kind of usage will not make Slayton a reliable fantasy option, but he should pop up for some big games while everyone is healthy.
He has also shown in the past he can produce when the targets find him including an 8-122-1 line on 11 targets against the Seahawks last year.
If Nabers misses time, Slayton will be a name to know on the wire assuming the Giants can figure out the quarterback spot.
Dyami Brown
If Palmer’s and Slayton’s contracts raised some eyebrows, Dyami Brown getting $10 million on a one-year deal with the Jaguars may have knocked people to the floor.
Brown ran a route on just 26.8% of Washington's dropbacks over his four-year rookie contract and earned a target on just 14.3% of those routes.
He showed up big for the Commanders in the playoffs last season, though, totaling 14 catches for 229 yards and a touchdown with a 70.5% route rate over three games.
Brown was also used a bit more down the field in those games, which had been the primary part of his game through his first three seasons.
Ultimately, this is a low-cost, short-term deal for the Jaguars, who need someone to command targets behind Brian Thomas Jr.
Perhaps what we saw from Brown late last season means he can be that guy in 2025, but it is tough to get too excited for fantasy purposes given his production history.
Marquise Brown
Despite an injury-ruined first season with the team, the Chiefs brought back Marquise Brown on a one-year contract.
Brown only played five games for Kansas City including the playoffs last season thanks to a preseason shoulder injury.
Despite earning quite a few targets — targeted on 24.8% of his routes — Brown never seemed to be in sync with Patrick Mahomes, catching just 50% of those targets.
He hauled in just 5 of 13 targets in the playoffs, averaging an anemic 3.8 yards per target.
Of course, he was coming off a long-term injury with a new team late in the season, so it is fair to give Brown something of a pass for those missteps.
Coming back to the Chiefs for another season, the upside case for Brown is similar to what it was when he joined Kansas City at this time last year.
21.6% of Brown’s targets during his two seasons in Arizona were deemed inaccurate per TruMedia.
No wide receiver with as many overall targets over that span had a higher inaccurate target rate.
The Chiefs have struggled to push the ball downfield since trading Tyreek Hill.
While Brown is not exclusively a downfield threat, 21.7% of his career targets have been 20 air yards or more.
The NFL average last season among qualifying receivers was 16.5%.
Xavier Worthy obviously has the speed to stretch the field, as well, but he was not used that way as a rookie.
Even if Worthy and Rashee Rice are available at the start of the season, that deeper role could be there for Brown in 2025.
DeAndre Hopkins
Heading into his age-33 season, DeAndre Hopkins will once again be playing for a new team in 2025 after signing a one-year, $6 million contract with the Ravens.
Traded to the Chiefs midway through last season, Hopkins did not make a big impact during his time in Kansas City.
He ran a route on just 36.1% of the Chiefs' dropbacks in the playoffs, and it is fair to wonder if the Ravens will also use him as more of a part-time player.
To be fair, Hopkins did at least earn targets when he was on the field last season.
He had a solid enough 22.5% target rate per route, which ranked 32nd among 104 qualified receivers, and he led the Chiefs in throws into the end zone despite playing just 10 games with the team.
Furthermore, Hopkins is just a year removed from being the clear No. 1 option in Tennessee, commanding a target on 27.1% of his routes.
Somewhere between those two usage extremes could make sense for the Ravens, especially with Zay Flowers, Rashod Bateman, Mark Andrews, and Isaiah Likely also earning targets.
Mike Williams
The fantasy case for Mike Williams might be even thinner than the one for Hopkins, though Williams did at least land in a good spot.
Williams reunited with the Chargers after one year away, signing a one-year, $6 million contract.
It was not a good year for Williams, who struggled to earn snaps with the Jets before being traded to the Steelers and continuing to not earn snaps.
Williams did not command targets even when he was on the field.
He was targeted on just 10% of his 341 routes, 100th among 103 qualifying receivers last season.
That said, Williams was also coming back from a serious injury while playing for two different new teams.
This is not the same Chargers offense he left, but he should at least be more comfortable with Justin Herbert.
The Chargers were also looking for options behind Ladd McConkey last year.
Quentin Johnston had his moments, but he still struggled with drops and converting opportunities.
Johnston caught 40% of his targets of 15 or more air yards, 70th among qualified receivers.
The good version of Williams would be better suited to that role, but does that guy still exist?
Will it matter if he does given what the Chargers want to do on offense and McConkey hoarding targets?
Those are open questions.
Fantasy Football Analysis: Tight End Free Agency, 2025
The free agent class at tight end did not have a ton of household names, but we still saw some big moves, especially after Evan Engram hit the open market.
Evan Engram
Released by the Jaguars ahead of free agency, Evan Engram did not have to wait long to find a new team, signing with the Broncos on a two-year, $23 million contract.
Despite their overall offensive success last season, the Broncos struggled to get production from the tight end position.
Broncos tight ends ranked:
- 30th in targets
- 29th in receptions
- 30th in yards
- 25th in yards per target
Engram was limited to 9 games last season, but he commanded targets when he was on the field, seeing one on 26.6% of his routes.
He was targeted on 22.2% of his routes during his three seasons with the Jaguars, eighth among qualifying tight ends over that span.
Engram has never been a big-time touchdown scorer — he has not topped 4 in a season since his rookie year — but he could soak up targets for an offense that was searching for a second option behind Courtland Sutton last season.
On the Jaguars' side, Engram leaving is great news for Brenton Strange.
A 2023 second-round pick, Strange was the primary beneficiary when Engram missed time last year, running a route on 68% of Jacksonville's dropbacks and seeing 39 targets in eight games.
12 of those targets came in one game, and Strange's usage was up and down in the other weeks.
Of course, the offense will be changing under new coach Liam Coen, but we did see his Bucs offense heavily utilize Cade Otton at times last year.
There is a lot of offseason left, the rookie tight end class looks good, and the Jaguars will likely add some more receiving help after moving on from Christian Kirk.
Still, Strange appears to be in a good spot to take a step forward as a fantasy asset in 2025.
Mike Gesicki
While the Bengals did eventually get deals done with Ja'Marr Chase and Tee Higgins, the first contract they handed out to the pass catching corps was to Mike Gesicki, who returns on a three-year, $25.5 million contract.
Gesicki's overall counting stats last season were not awe inspiring.
He finished with 665 yards and 2 touchdowns on 65 receptions, though some of that can be explained by him not being a full-time player.
Gesicki ran a route on just 58% of Cincinnati's dropbacks, ranked 18th among qualified tight ends, despite playing all 17 games.
On a per-route basis, Gesicki was the TE11 in yards per route run and TE13 in target rate per route despite playing with two elite receivers.
Gesicki really showed his value when Higgins was not on the field, earning a target on 26.1% of his routes (slightly higher than Chase on those snaps) and averaging 2.05 yards per route run.
That YPRR number would have ranked third among qualified tight ends a season ago.
Of course, Higgins just signed a long-term extension, a move that likely will push Gesicki back into his lightly-used No. 3 role.
Juwan Johnson
Despite being in cap hell, the Saints found a way (as always) to re-sign some of their biggest free agents including Juwan Johnson, who is back on a three-year, $30.75 million contract.
Johnson first broke out for the Saints in 2022, catching 42 passes for 508 yards and 7 touchdowns, but he has not built on that over the last two seasons, finishing with lines of 37-368-4 and 50-548-3.
Johnson was actually second on the Saints in targets last season as the offense dealt with injury after injury in the receiving corps, but even so, his 12.8% team target share ranked 21st among qualifying tight ends.
He has been targeted on 16.7% of his career routes, a number that would have ranked 23rd among qualified tight ends last season.
The Saints have a new coaching staff led by former Eagles OC Kellen Moore, and it is promising they wanted to bring Johnson back.
Still, we do not have a strong history of him commanding targets, and it is concerning from a fantasy perspective that we did not see that change last season given the state of the receiving corps.
Zach Ertz
The Commanders had a lot of their primary pass catchers from a season ago headed to free agency, but they got back the main one with a one-year, $6.25 million deal with Zach Ertz.
Ertz was the secondary option in the passing game in 2024, earning 18.1% of the team targets on his way to a 66-654-7 line.
He was not particularly efficient with his work, finishing 23rd among qualifying tight ends in yards per route run (1.3) and 25th in yards per target (7.2).
Ertz also struggled to create after the catch, finishing dead last among that same group in yards after catch per reception.
None of those things are surprising given where Ertz is in his career, and perhaps more importantly, he offered Jayden Daniels a safe and reliable option underneath.
Moving forward, though, it is fair to wonder how many targets the veteran will see.
The Commanders traded for Deebo Samuel, and he works in similar areas of the field as Ertz.
- 2024 Ertz: 7.5 air yards per target, 20.6% target rate per route against zone, 67.0% targets between the numbers
- 2024 Samuel: 6.8 air yards per target, 19.2% target rate per route against zone, 70.3% targets between the numbers
While Ertz is unlikely to disappear from the offense as long as he is healthy, Samuel does present a strong challenge to those types of targets.