The Worksheet, a comprehensive fantasy football preview by Rich Hribar, breaks down everything you need to know about the Week 8 matchup between the Jaguars and Packers.
Find a breakdown of every Week 8 NFL game in our Worksheet Hub.
| Green Bay | Rank | @ | Jacksonville | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| -4.5 | Spread | 4.5 | ||
| 27.0 | Implied Total | 22.5 | ||
| 26.6 | 7 | Points/Gm | 20.7 | 21 |
| 20.4 | 10 | Points All./Gm | 27.7 | 30 |
| 63.1 | 12 | Plays/Gm | 58.1 | 27 |
| 61.9 | 16 | Opp. Plays/Gm | 63.1 | 21 |
| 6.1 | 6 | Off. Yards/Play | 5.6 | 14 |
| 5.1 | 8 | Def. Yards/Play | 6 | 29 |
| 49.32% | 6 | Rush% | 41.77% | 22 |
| 50.68% | 27 | Pass% | 58.23% | 11 |
| 42.73% | 15 | Opp. Rush % | 39.14% | 6 |
| 57.27% | 18 | Opp. Pass % | 60.86% | 27 |
- Jacksonville has allowed 30 pass plays of 20 or more yards, the most in the NFL.
- Green Bay has 25 pass plays of 20 or more yards, second in the NFL behind the 49ers (26).
- 85.0% (17-of-20) of Green Bay's touchdowns have been via passing, the highest rate in the league.
- The Jaguars have the fewest expected points added as a pass defense this season (-86.1). The next closest team (Carolina) is at -59.7 EPA as a pass defense.
- The Packers have a takeaway on 20.5% of their opponent's possessions, the highest rate in the league.
- The Jaguars have a takeaway on 2.8% of their opponent's possessions, the lowest rate in the league.
- Jacksonville has allowed 2.67 points per drive, 31st in the league.
Trust = spike production for that player
Quarterback
Jordan Love (TRUST): Love is one of the more reliable fantasy quarterbacks we have had this season when he has been on the field.
Love has been a QB1 scorer in four of five games with his low week as only the QB14.
He has multiple touchdown passes in every game this season, leading the NFL with an 8.4% touchdown rate.
His touchdown rate was 5.5% last season, and he has 7.1 touchdown passes over expectations, the most in the league.
There should be a regression for Love along the way even if he remains among the league leaders in touchdown passes, but this is not a spot to get off the train.
The Jaguars have been a premier target for us this season.
They have allowed a QB1 scorer in every game this season, a list that includes Deshaun Watson (15.4 points), Joe Flacco (26.6), Caleb Williams (28.6), and Drake Maye (20.8).
Every quarterback they have faced this season has scored more points against the Jaguars than they averaged entering that matchup.
Jacksonville has allowed a league-high 20.3 passing points per game.
The Jaguars are playing man coverage 38.7% of the time, second in the league.
Interestingly enough, Love has averaged only 3.9 yards per attempt against man coverage, ahead of just Anthony Richardson (3.6).
Despite the depressed yards per attempt against man coverage, Love has a 10.9% touchdown rate on those dropbacks, fifth in the league.
Trevor Lawrence: Closing last week as QB14 (15.0 points), Lawrence has found some footing for fantasy purposes.
He is best used as a floor-based QB2.
He still has only one QB1 scoring week, but he has finished in the top half of weekly scoring in four straight weeks and five of his past six games.
Over the past four weeks, Lawrence has completed 68.9% of his passes (9th) for 7.9 yards per attempt (9th) and a 5.7% touchdown rate (10th).
Outside of his seasonal output, he is best used as a QB2 over a locked-in streamer because Green Bay has been a solid pass defense this season.
They are 12th in passing points allowed per game (12.2) and have allowed only two QB1 weeks.
Over the past three weeks against Matthew Stafford, Kyler Murray, and C.J. Stroud, they have allowed 5.7 Y/A and a 62.2% completion rate with 2 touchdowns.
Running Back
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Learn MoreMore Week 8 Fantasy Breakdowns From The Worksheet:
| Matchup | Time |
|---|---|
| Vikings @ Rams -- FREE | Thursday Night Football |
| Eagles @ Bengals | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Ravens @ Browns | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Titans @ Lions | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Cardinals @ Dolphins | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Jets @ Patriots | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Falcons @ Bucs | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Packers @ Jaguars | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Colts @ Texans | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Saints @ Chargers | Sunday -- 4:05 p.m. ET |
| Bills @ Seahawks | Sunday -- 4:05 p.m. ET |
| Panthers @ Broncos | Sunday -- 4:25 p.m. ET |
| Chiefs @ Raiders | Sunday -- 4:25 p.m. ET |
| Bears @ Commanders | Sunday -- 4:25 p.m. ET |
| Cowboys @ 49ers | Sunday Night Football |
| Giants @ Steelers -- FREE | Monday Night Football |