The Worksheet, a comprehensive fantasy football preview by Rich Hribar, breaks down everything you need to know about the Week 7 matchup between the Commanders and Panthers.
Find a breakdown of every Week 7 NFL game in our Worksheet Hub.
| Carolina | Rank | @ | Washington | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | Spread | -7.5 | ||
| 22.25 | Implied Total | 29.75 | ||
| 17.2 | 28 | Points/Gm | 29.7 | 2 |
| 33.8 | 32 | Points All./Gm | 24.2 | 22 |
| 60.2 | 19 | Plays/Gm | 61.7 | 16 |
| 64.2 | 25 | Opp. Plays/Gm | 59 | 9 |
| 5 | 21 | Off. Yards/Play | 6.1 | 5 |
| 5.9 | 27 | Def. Yards/Play | 6 | 29 |
| 39.06% | 24 | Rush% | 50.27% | 7 |
| 60.94% | 9 | Pass% | 49.73% | 26 |
| 53.25% | 31 | Opp. Rush % | 46.33% | 19 |
| 46.75% | 2 | Opp. Pass % | 53.67% | 14 |
- Carolina has been outscored by 100 points, the worst margin in the league. The next closest team is at -65 points.
- Carolina is allowing 6 scoring plays per game.
- Washington averages 5.7 scoring plays per game of offense, the most in the league.
- Washington scored 61.8% on their possessions, and the next closest team has scored on 51.7%.
- Washington is averaging a league-best 3.24 points per drive. They average 3.23 points per drive with a sack. The next closest team averages 1.86 points per drive when sacked.
- Carolina averages 0.71 points per drive in the fourth quarter, ahead of only the Titans (0.53).
- 54.6% of the Washington drives reach the red zone or score prior, the highest rate in the league.
- Washington has allowed 42.6% of the possessions against them to reach the red zone, 29th in the league.
- 19.3% of the running back runs against Washington have gained 10 or more yards, the highest rate in the league.
Trust = spike production for that player
Quarterback
Jayden Daniels (TRUST): Daniels has logged four QB1 scoring weeks over his first five NFL games.
The past two weeks have given us more confidence in him as a fantasy QB1, as he has hit with a QB1 floor against two active defenses.
Daniels only rushed for a season-low 22 yards against the Ravens and still scored 21 fantasy points.
He has had spike weeks in some of his best matchups, which he has on the table here.
This is a great passing matchup before even factoring in any rushing here.
The Panthers are 30th in passing points allowed per pass attempt (0.572), allowing 7.9 yards per attempt (27th) and a 6.9% touchdown rate (30th).
Carolina is dead last in the league regarding pressure rate (24.1%).
They play the most Cover 3 in the league at 59.3% of their snaps.
Against Cover 3, Daniels has completed 82% of his passes (1st) for 10.3 yards per pass attempt (3rd), with a first down or touchdown on 42% of his passes (5th).
Andy Dalton: It has not been as good for Dalton since his first start of the year.
He does have multiple passing touchdowns in three of his four starts, but he has thrown for only 5.5, 4.9, and 5.8 yards per pass attempt over his past three games after 8.6 Y/A in his first start against the Raiders.
But his past three starts have come against three teams in the top 10 in yards allowed per pass attempt.
That will change here as Dalton gets a good matchup paired against an opponent that should score points and push the action.
Carolina even has a modest implied team total here to suggest as much.
Their team total is the same as the Buccaneers and Texans and higher than the Cardinals this week.
Washington is one of the two teams that has allowed more passing points per attempt (0.589) than the Panthers have.
The Commanders have allowed a 69.9% completion rate (27th), 8.1 Y/A (30th), and a 6.9% touchdown rate (31st).
Dalton is the best streamer this weekend, but I did knock him down the rankings a smidge based on the potential that Diontae Johnson is not 100%.
Running Back
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More Week 7 Fantasy Breakdowns From The Worksheet:
| Matchup | Time |
|---|---|
| Broncos @ Saints | Thursday Night Football |
| Patriots vs. Jaguars | Sunday -- 9:30 a.m. ET (London) |
| Seahawks @ Falcons | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Titans @ Bills | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Bengals @ Browns | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Texans @ Packers | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Dolphins @ Colts | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Lions @ Vikings | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Eagles @ Giants | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Raiders @ Rams | Sunday -- 4:05 p.m. ET |
| Panthers @ Commanders | Sunday -- 4:05 p.m. ET |
| Chiefs @ 49ers | Sunday -- 4:25 p.m. ET |
| Jets @ Steelers | Sunday Night Football |
| Ravens @ Bucs | Monday Night Football |
| Chargers @ Cardinals | Monday Night Football |
