The Worksheet, a fantasy football overview by Rich Hribar, breaking down everything you need to know for the Week 15 New England Patriots at Las Vegas Raiders Sunday afternoon game.
| New England | Rank | @ | Las Vegas | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | Spread | -1.5 | ||
| 21.5 | Implied Total | 23 | ||
| 21.2 | 18 | Points/Gm | 23.7 | 11 |
| 18.4 | 5 | Points All./Gm | 24.1 | 24 |
| 59.2 | 27 | Plays/Gm | 61.5 | 21 |
| 63.2 | 18 | Opp. Plays/Gm | 63.8 | 21 |
| 5.4 | 18 | Off. Yards/Play | 5.9 | 6 |
| 4.9 | 6 | Def. Yards/Play | 5.7 | 24 |
| 43.30% | 13 | Rush% | 41.13% | 18 |
| 56.70% | 20 | Pass% | 58.87% | 15 |
| 41.61% | 11 | Opp. Rush % | 41.69% | 12 |
| 58.39% | 22 | Opp. Pass % | 58.31% | 21 |
- New England has punted on 50.9% of their drives since Week 9, ahead of only the Broncos (57.6%).
- Over that same span, the Patriots have converted 25.0% of their red zone possessions for touchdowns, the lowest rate in the league.
- Over that period, the Patriots are allowing 3.99 yards per play defensively, the fewest in the league.
- 45.2% (14-of-31) of the Raiders' offensive touchdowns have been scored from outside of the red zone, the highest rate in the league.
- New England has allowed the fewest touchdowns from outside of the red zone (three).
- Derek Carr has completed 39.6% (21-of-53) of his passes in the red zone, ahead of only Joe Flacco (39.1%) among all passers with 20 or more attempts on the season.
Trust = spike production for that player
Quarterback
Derek Carr: Carr played poorly last week and the coaching staff compounded matters with an egregious game plan that ended up costing the Raiders the game last week. Carr closed last week as the QB29 (2.6 points) in a week where there were six teams on bye. He completed just 55% of his passes and failed to throw a touchdown pass for the first time since Week 8. For good measure, Carr also threw a horrendous red zone interception, an area of the field that has been problematic for him and the Raiders all season.
Carr also threw just 20 passes as the Raiders had a pass rate 20% below expectation, the lowest rate in a game this season. That is how you keep the back door open.
The Raiders are supposedly going to get both Darren Waller and Hunter Renfrow back this week. Carr only has 52 total dropbacks with those two and Davante Adams on the field this season. On that small sample, Carr is 31-of-48 (64.6%) with 8.1 Y/A.
Getting all of his weapons back gives Carr some upside, but this also is a tough matchup to handle Carr as more than a higher-end QB2. The Patriots are allowing 6.7 yards per pass attempt (ninth) and 0.368 passing points per attempt (ninth). Carr is 0-3 in his career against the Patriots, averaging 5.8 yards per pass attempt in those games.