The Worksheet, a fantasy football overview by Rich Hribar, breaking down everything you need to know for the Week 5 New England Patriots at Houston Texans Sunday afternoon game.
| New England | Rank | @ | Houston | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| -9.5 | Spread | 9.5 | ||
| 24.5 | Implied Total | 15 | ||
| 17.8 | 27 | Points/Gm | 16.8 | 28 |
| 17.5 | 6 | Points All./Gm | 29 | 28 |
| 62.8 | 17 | Plays/Gm | 56 | 30 |
| 64 | 19 | Opp. Plays/Gm | 66.5 | 24 |
| 5 | 25 | Off. Yards/Play | 4.7 | 29 |
| 4.8 | 4 | Def. Yards/Play | 6 | 25 |
| 31.47% | 30 | Rush% | 46.43% | 7 |
| 68.53% | 3 | Pass% | 53.57% | 26 |
| 47.66% | 29 | Opp. Rush % | 46.24% | 27 |
| 52.34% | 4 | Opp. Pass % | 53.76% | 6 |
- The Patriots are 28th in points per play (.283) on offense while the Texans are 26th (.299).
- The Texans are averaging -138.5 fewer yards from scrimmage per game than their opponent, the worst differential in the league.
- 30.2% of the fantasy points allowed by the Texans have come via rushing, the largest rate in the league.
- Davis Mills is 2-of-12 passing for 51 yards and two interceptions on throws over 15 yards downfield.
- New England is 26-6 against starting rookie quarterbacks under Bill Belichick.
- In those 32 games, those rookie passers have completed just 54.3% of their passes for 6.3 yards per pass attempt to go with 25 touchdown passes and 47 interceptions.
Trust = spike production for that player
Bust = down-week production for that player’s standards
Quarterback
Mac Jones: Jones completed 31-of-40 passes for 275 yards and a pair of scores on Sunday night, but was still just the QB21 in scoring (16.9 points). Jones has been blitzed more than any quarterback in the league (38.5% of the time), so this matchup should be a break from that in his early career since Houston has blitzed just 11.3% of the time, which is the fourth-lowest rate in the league.
After a negative game script in Week 3 and facing a pass-funnel Bucs D last week, we also should anticipate the 56 and 48 dropbacks for Jones the past weeks to recoil closer to the 31 dropbacks he had in Week 2 against the Jets. Houston has allowed 17 or more fantasy points to all four quarterbacks they have faced so far to give Jones life as a floor-based QB2.
